Is META stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, META is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: META shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of META stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for META to be between $559.77 and $615.83. The current price is $648.03.

What is the analyst price target for META?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for META is $757.31. This implies a potential upside of 16.9% from current levels.

Meta Platforms (META) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

META - Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

$648.03

3.65 (0.57%) ▲

5d: +6.12%

30d: +11.95%

90d: +14.0%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 2, 2026 at $592.28 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: META shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$849.03

Based on 6.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$527.18

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: META is currently trading at $648.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $559.77 to $615.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, META is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $664.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: META scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $757.31 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $559.77 - $615.83

Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 24.8%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($757.31)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 28.0% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $559.77 - $615.83

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $556.10

Resistance Level $664.24

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.09

Wall Street Target $757.31 (+16.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 28.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -13.4%

Profit Margin 29.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium

PE vs Historical 19.1 vs 18.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $651.92 (+1%)

2-Year Target $655.83 (+1%)

3-Year Target $659.76 (+2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→19) PE COMPRESSION $646.22 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.0%) $862.38 (+33%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 8.0%) $816.28 (+26%)

Bear: (PE: 16.2, Growth: 8.0%) $693.84 (+7%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 24.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $26.16

Bull Case $919.70 (+42%)

Analyst growth 29.8%, PE expands to 27.1

Base Case $836.09 (+29%)

Market implied 29.8%, PE stable at 24.6

Bear Case $438.18 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Javier Olivan SELL 629 shares 2026-04-20

Javier Olivan SELL 926 shares 2026-04-20

Robert M Kimmitt SELL 580 shares 2026-04-15

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