CMCO
Columbus McKinnon Corp/NY
CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY & EQUIP
Columbus McKinnon Corp/NY (CMCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.94
+1.62 (+7.97%)
β²
5d:
+18.02%
30d:
+37.04%
90d:
+15.05%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (23%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$14.16 β $18.16
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.0x
STRETCHED
vs 8.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$26.75
+31.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$14.70 / $22.08
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: CMCO is 20.8% above its trading range ($18.16). Market expects 10.4% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.98
Based on -5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCO is currently trading at $21.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.16 to $18.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $22.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMCO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.75 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $22.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMCO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.75 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.16 -
$18.16
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.16 -
$18.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$14.70
Resistance Level
$22.08
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+20.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($26.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile β this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.95
Wall Street Target
$26.75
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
106.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.9%
Profit Margin
-19.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.4% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 8.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.43
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$24.77
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$27.34
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12β9)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.37
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -15.9%)
$24.62
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: -15.9%)
$14.81
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: -15.9%)
$11.03
(-46%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CMCO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows 100.0% bullish sentiment towards $CMCO with no recent news articles available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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