CMCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CMCO - Columbus McKinnon Corp/NY

CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY & EQUIP
$20.12
0.95 (4.96%) β–²
5d: +22.83%
30d: +48.49%
90d: +30.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: CMCO is 22.1% above its trading range ($16.48). Market expects 12.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.37
Based on -5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.44
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CMCO is currently trading at $20.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.14 to $16.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.46, while resistance sits at $21.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: CMCO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.75 (+28.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $13.14 - $16.48
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 56.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+22.1% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($25.75)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.2% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 22.1% overvaluation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.14 - $16.48
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.47
Resistance Level $21.60
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.83
Wall Street Target $25.75 (+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 125.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 50.9%
Profit Margin -21.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +12.2% premium
PE vs Historical 11.8 vs 8.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +12.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.57 (+12%)
2-Year Target $25.33 (+26%)
3-Year Target $28.42 (+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12β†’8) PE COMPRESSION $20.18 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: -15.9%) $25.70 (+28%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: -15.9%) $14.67 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 8.4, Growth: -15.9%) $10.41 (-48%)
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 11:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jon Adams SELL 5185 shares 2026-02-11

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