CMRC
Commerce.com, Inc. Series 1 Common Stock
SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
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Commerce.com, Inc. Series 1 (CMRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$3.54
-0.12 (-3.28%)
▼
5d:
-2.21%
30d:
+7.93%
90d:
+61.64%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect CMRC Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$3.29 – $3.61
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.2x
CHEAP
vs 7.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$4.50
+27.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.23 / $3.78
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.22
43.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMRC is currently trading at $3.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.29 to $3.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.2) compared to its historical average (7.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMRC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.23, while resistance sits at $3.78. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMRC scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.50 (+27.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMRC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.23, while resistance sits at $3.78. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMRC scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.50 (+27.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.29 -
$3.61
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$3.29 -
$3.61
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$3.23
Resistance Level
$3.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CMRC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.1% below Wall St target ($4.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.23
Wall Street Target
$4.50
(+27.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.2 vs 7.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.19
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.87
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.58
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→8)
$3.75
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 80.7%)
$45.35
(+1181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: 80.7%)
$11.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.4, Growth: 80.7%)
$10.16
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.2 to 7.6
Stabilization Target:
$5.14
(+45.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CMRC)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates $CMRC on StockTwits with no new news articles to provide context.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 1:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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