Crescent Energy (CRGY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$12.12
+0.08 (+0.66%)
▲
5d:
+8.02%
30d:
-3.12%
90d:
-4.49%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
60/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$11.95 – $13.84
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
3.8x
CHEAP
vs 6.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$18.56
+53.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.56 / $14.05
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRGY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.3% annual earnings decline despite 117% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.09
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.41
45.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRGY is currently trading at $12.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.95 to $13.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.8) compared to its historical average (6.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 117.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.56, while resistance sits at $14.05.
Market Sentiment: CRGY scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.56 (+53.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.56, while resistance sits at $14.05.
Market Sentiment: CRGY scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.56 (+53.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.95 -
$13.84
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$11.95 -
$13.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$10.56
Resistance Level
$14.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.2% below Wall St target ($18.56)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 71/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.81
Wall Street Target
$18.56
(+53.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
117.2%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.8 vs 6.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.82
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.84
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$14.15
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.8%)
$117.13
(+866%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.8, Growth: 22.8%)
$22.47
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.2, Growth: 22.8%)
$19.10
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 3.66 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.31
Bull Case
$14.63
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 3.9
Base Case
$12.12
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 3.7
Bear Case
$9.27
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 3.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.8 to 6.1
Stabilization Target:
$19.41
(+60.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CRGY)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Crescent Energy (CRGY) reported strong Q3 2026 earnings, with a 27.4% EPS beat and 55.9% revenue growth. The company's oil production per day rose 30.1% year on year.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong earnings report with revenue and EPS beats
Growth in oil production per day
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 7:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRGY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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