Is CRGY stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CRGY is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRGY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of CRGY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CRGY to be between $10.46 and $12.59. The current price is $13.53.

What is the analyst price target for CRGY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CRGY is $16.73. This implies a potential upside of 19.0% from current levels.

CRGY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRGY - Crescent Energy Company

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

$13.53

-0.53 (-3.77%) ▼

5d: +6.62%

30d: +20.05%

90d: +2.5%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CRGY Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 03, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $12.69 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRGY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -6.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$12.48

Based on -1.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$7.75

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRGY is currently trading at $13.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.46 to $12.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.5) is in line with its historical norms (6.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.76, while resistance sits at $14.12. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: CRGY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.73 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $10.46 - $12.59

Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 17.6%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.5% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.73)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.46 - $12.59

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.76

Resistance Level $14.12

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.55

Wall Street Target $16.73 (+19.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 55.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 117.2%

Profit Margin 1.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.6% premium

PE vs Historical 6.6 vs 6.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $14.28 (+2%)

2-Year Target $14.51 (+3%)

3-Year Target $14.75 (+5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→6) PE COMPRESSION $13.96 (-1%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -6.4%) $35.36 (+152%)

Base: (SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: -6.4%) $11.54 (-18%)

Bear: (PE: 5.6, Growth: -6.4%) $9.81 (-30%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 5.69 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.47

Bull Case $16.98 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 6.0

Base Case $14.06 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 5.7

Bear Case $10.76 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 5.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 24, 2026 11:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced CRGY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRGY price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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