Is CRGY stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CRGY is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRGY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of CRGY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CRGY to be between $12.00 and $14.17. The current price is $14.66.

What is the analyst price target for CRGY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CRGY is $16.19. This implies a potential upside of 10.4% from current levels.

Crescent Energy (CRGY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRGY - Crescent Energy Company

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

$14.66

0.25 (1.73%) ▲

5d: +5.01%

30d: +21.56%

90d: +27.7%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CRGY Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 02, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $13.77 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRGY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -5.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$13.16

Based on -0.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$8.17

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRGY is currently trading at $14.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.00 to $14.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (6.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CRGY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.19 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $12.00 - $14.17

Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 27.1%

Protect Your Profits

CRGY is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.19)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.00 - $14.17

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.39

Resistance Level $14.67

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.67

Wall Street Target $16.19 (+10.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 55.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 117.2%

Profit Margin 1.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium

PE vs Historical 6.7 vs 6.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $14.97 (+2%)

2-Year Target $15.28 (+4%)

3-Year Target $15.60 (+6%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→6) PE COMPRESSION $14.74 (+1%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -5.9%) $36.99 (+152%)

Base: (SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: -5.9%) $12.23 (-17%)

Bear: (PE: 5.7, Growth: -5.9%) $10.40 (-29%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.

Forward PE: 6.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.14

Bull Case $17.70 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 7.2

Base Case $14.66 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 6.9

Bear Case $11.21 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 6.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:17 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced CRGY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRGY price and gamma walls.

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