Crescent Energy (CRGY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRGY - Crescent Energy Company
$13.83
0.50 (3.75%)
â˛
5d:
+0.44%
30d:
+3.06%
90d:
+31.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
8d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 7, 2026 at $13.47 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CRGY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CRGY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.42
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.89
26.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRGY is currently trading at $13.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.83 to $14.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (6.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 117.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRGY scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.47 (+33.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRGY scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.47 (+33.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$12.83 -
$14.03
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRGY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.6% below Wall St target ($18.47)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.83 -
$14.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.40
Resistance Level
$14.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.77
Wall Street Target
$18.47
(+33.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
117.2%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 6.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.68
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$11.63
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$10.66
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5â6)
$13.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.4%)
$95.51
(+591%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 18.4%)
$22.93
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: 18.4%)
$19.49
(+41%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 6.35 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.18
Bull Case
$16.70
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 6.7
Base Case
$13.83
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 6.4
Bear Case
$10.58
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 5.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 6.2
Stabilization Target:
$17.98
(+30.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 5:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRGY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CRGY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRGY price and gamma walls.
