CRNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRNC - Cerence Inc. Common Stock
$10.24
-0.07 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
-0.68%
30d:
-5.19%
90d:
+35.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRNC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRNC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.70
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRNC is currently trading at $10.24, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.06 to $10.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.40, while resistance sits at $12.63.
Market Sentiment: CRNC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.40, while resistance sits at $12.63.
Market Sentiment: CRNC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.06 -
$10.95
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
36th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRNC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 36th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.06 -
$10.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.47
(14.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.40
Resistance Level
$12.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.37
Wall Street Target
$10.75
(+5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.0%
Profit Margin
-6.5%
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.24
(0%)
2-Year Target
$10.24
(0%)
3-Year Target
$10.24
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$10.26
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.9%)
$20.95
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 7.9%)
$12.86
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 7.9%)
$10.93
(+7%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 3:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CRNC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRNC price and gamma walls.
