Cerence (CRNC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRNC - Cerence Inc. Common Stock
$8.51
0.37 (4.55%)
▲
5d:
+0.24%
30d:
-1.5%
90d:
-21.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRNC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRNC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.29
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRNC is currently trading at $8.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.09 to $8.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.00, while resistance sits at $8.77. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.75 (+26.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.00, while resistance sits at $8.77. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.75 (+26.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.09 -
$8.91
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRNC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($10.75)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.09 -
$8.91
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.00
Resistance Level
$8.77
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.84
Wall Street Target
$10.75
(+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.0%
Profit Margin
-5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 12.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.03
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$7.58
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$7.16
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$8.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.2%)
$19.49
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$10.47
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 7.2%)
$8.90
(+5%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$10.13
(+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRNC price and gamma walls.
