Cerence (CRNC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.16
-0.54 (-6.21%)
▼
5d:
+1.62%
30d:
-6.37%
90d:
-9.23%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
4d
Protect CRNC Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
62/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.16 – $8.83
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.4x
CHEAP
vs 12.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.75
+31.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
28th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$7.81 / $8.99
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: CRNC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.88
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRNC is currently trading at $8.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.16 to $8.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.81, while resistance sits at $8.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.75 (+31.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.81, while resistance sits at $8.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.75 (+31.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.16 -
$8.83
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
28th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.16 -
$8.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.09
(13.4%)
Support Level
$7.81
Resistance Level
$8.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRNC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 28th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.7% below Wall St target ($10.75)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.39
Wall Street Target
$10.75
(+31.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.0%
Profit Margin
-5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.68
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$7.23
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$6.80
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$8.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$19.19
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$10.04
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$8.54
(+5%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$9.81
(+20.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CRNC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 19, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Cerence AI named Growth and Innovation Index Leader in Frost Radar for AI-Powered In-Car Assistants, with Cerence xUI recognized for its multi-agent architecture and proactive assistance capabilities.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 2:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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