CRNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRNC - Cerence Inc. Common Stock
$7.62
-0.44 (-5.46%)
▼
5d:
-10.56%
30d:
-9.77%
90d:
-30.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRNC is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRNC is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.50
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.38
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRNC is currently trading at $7.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.27 to $9.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRNC scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.75 (+33.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRNC scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.75 (+33.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.27 -
$9.50
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRNC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.4% below Wall St target ($10.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.27 -
$9.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.78
Resistance Level
$9.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.27
Wall Street Target
$10.75
(+33.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.0%
Profit Margin
-5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.44
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$6.87
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$6.34
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$8.09
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.2%)
$19.39
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 7.2%)
$9.92
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$8.43
(+5%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$10.28
(+27.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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