CRNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRNC - Cerence Inc. Common Stock
$9.88
-0.20 (-1.98%)
▼
5d:
-3.8%
30d:
-10.02%
90d:
+48.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRNC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRNC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.60
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRNC is currently trading at $9.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.71 to $11.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.40, while resistance sits at $12.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.40, while resistance sits at $12.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.71 -
$11.89
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.71 -
$11.89
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.40
Resistance Level
$12.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.90
Wall Street Target
$10.75
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.0%
Profit Margin
-6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.77
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$9.66
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$9.56
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$9.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.9%)
$20.95
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 7.9%)
$12.41
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 7.9%)
$10.55
(+7%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$10.19
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 1:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRNC price and gamma walls.
