CSW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CSW - CSW Industrials, Inc.

ADHESIVES & SEALANTS
$283.06
2.12 (0.75%) ▲
5d: +1.07%
30d: +6.51%
90d: -2.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$480.93
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$298.62
5.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CSW is currently trading at $283.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $269.18 to $280.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $288.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CSW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $326.43 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $269.18 - $280.35
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($326.43)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 34.0% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $269.18 - $280.35
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $263.62
Resistance Level $288.37
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 17, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.17
Wall Street Target $326.43 (+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 34.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -41.2%
Profit Margin 10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.1% premium
PE vs Historical 24.2 vs 23.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $286.17 (+1%)
2-Year Target $289.32 (+2%)
3-Year Target $292.50 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→23) PE COMPRESSION $283.19 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.2, Growth: 20.1%) $490.57 (+73%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 20.1%) $442.07 (+56%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 20.1%) $375.76 (+33%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.69
Bull Case $540.99 (+91%)
Analyst growth 75.1%, PE expands to 46.2
Base Case $491.81 (+74%)
Market implied 75.1%, PE stable at 42.0
Bear Case $191.04 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph B Armes SELL 1500 shares 2026-04-15
Don Sullivan SELL 166 shares 2026-04-15
Luke Alverson SELL 1007 shares 2026-04-07

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