CSW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSW - CSW Industrials, Inc.
$268.76
-5.60 (-2.04%)
▼
5d:
-1.43%
30d:
+2.3%
90d:
+2.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$480.93
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$298.62
10.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSW is currently trading at $268.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $263.30 to $279.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.9) is in line with its historical norms (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $263.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.57 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $263.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.57 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$263.30 -
$279.17
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($324.57)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$263.30 -
$279.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$263.62
Resistance Level
$288.37
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.95
Wall Street Target
$324.57
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.2%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 23.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$267.15
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$265.54
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$263.95
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
$269.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: 20.1%)
$465.79
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 20.1%)
$442.07
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 20.1%)
$375.76
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.69
Bull Case
$523.80
(+95%)
Analyst growth 75.1%, PE expands to 44.7
Base Case
$476.18
(+77%)
Market implied 75.1%, PE stable at 40.7
Bear Case
$184.97
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.9 to 23.4
Stabilization Target:
$274.05
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph B Armes
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Don Sullivan
SELL
166 shares
2026-04-15
Luke Alverson
SELL
1007 shares
2026-04-07
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