CSW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSW - CSW Industrials, Inc.
$330.09
7.47 (2.32%)
▲
5d:
-4.36%
30d:
+13.71%
90d:
+25.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CSW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CSW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$497.37
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$308.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSW is currently trading at $330.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $290.63 to $345.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.2) compared to its historical average (24.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $319.41, while resistance sits at $355.48.
Market Sentiment: CSW scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $319.41, while resistance sits at $355.48.
Market Sentiment: CSW scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$290.63 -
$345.99
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($351.86)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.2% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$290.63 -
$345.99
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$319.41
Resistance Level
$355.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.19
Wall Street Target
$351.86
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
28.2 vs 24.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$347.25
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$365.31
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$384.31
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$329.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.2, Growth: 20.1%)
$572.08
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.1%)
$407.36
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 20.1%)
$346.26
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.19
Bull Case
$578.05
(+75%)
Analyst growth 62.9%, PE expands to 49.4
Base Case
$525.50
(+59%)
Market implied 62.9%, PE stable at 44.9
Bear Case
$219.38
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph B Armes
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Don Sullivan
SELL
166 shares
2026-04-15
Luke Alverson
SELL
1007 shares
2026-04-07
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