CSW Industrials (CSW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSW - CSW Industrials, Inc.
$300.71
9.01 (3.09%)
▲
5d:
-1.59%
30d:
-13.34%
90d:
+9.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CSW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CSW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$503.54
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$312.66
3.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSW is currently trading at $300.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $306.34 to $344.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.7) is in line with its historical norms (24.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $288.27, while resistance sits at $323.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $351.86 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $288.27, while resistance sits at $323.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $351.86 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$306.34 -
$344.45
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($351.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$306.34 -
$344.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$288.27
Resistance Level
$323.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.68
Wall Street Target
$351.86
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 24.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$305.52
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$310.41
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$315.38
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$300.93
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: 20.1%)
$521.16
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 20.1%)
$409.39
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 20.1%)
$347.99
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.20
Bull Case
$521.93
(+74%)
Analyst growth 62.7%, PE expands to 44.6
Base Case
$474.48
(+58%)
Market implied 62.7%, PE stable at 40.5
Bear Case
$198.36
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph B Armes
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Don Sullivan
SELL
166 shares
2026-04-15
Luke Alverson
SELL
1007 shares
2026-04-07
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