CSW Industrials (CSW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSW - CSW Industrials, Inc.
$304.78
12.40 (4.24%)
▲
5d:
+2.69%
30d:
+0.99%
90d:
+8.83%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSW is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CSW is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$503.54
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$312.66
2.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSW is currently trading at $304.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $289.66 to $312.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.0) is in line with its historical norms (24.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $305.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSW scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $351.86 (+20.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $305.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSW scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $351.86 (+20.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$289.66 -
$312.46
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.3% below Wall St target ($351.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$289.66 -
$312.46
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$284.60
Resistance Level
$305.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.97
Wall Street Target
$351.86
(+20.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
25.0 vs 24.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$294.13
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$295.90
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$297.67
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$292.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.0, Growth: 20.1%)
$506.72
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.1%)
$414.06
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 20.1%)
$351.95
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.17
Bull Case
$517.61
(+77%)
Analyst growth 63.3%, PE expands to 44.2
Base Case
$470.55
(+61%)
Market implied 63.3%, PE stable at 40.2
Bear Case
$195.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph B Armes
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Don Sullivan
SELL
166 shares
2026-04-15
Luke Alverson
SELL
1007 shares
2026-04-07
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