CSW Industrials (CSW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CSW - CSW Industrials, Inc.

ADHESIVES & SEALANTS
$294.69
1.75 (0.60%) ▲
5d: +1.22%
30d: -1.09%
90d: +1.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$505.59
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$313.93
6.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CSW is currently trading at $294.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $287.50 to $297.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.2) is in line with its historical norms (24.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $298.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CSW scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $351.86 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $287.50 - $297.09
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 81.9%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($351.86)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $287.50 - $297.09
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $283.82
Resistance Level $298.32
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.16
Wall Street Target $351.86 (+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 33.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 25.1%
Profit Margin 10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.8% premium
PE vs Historical 25.2 vs 24.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $297.05 (+1%)
2-Year Target $299.42 (+2%)
3-Year Target $301.82 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→25) PE COMPRESSION $295.07 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.2, Growth: 20.1%) $510.73 (+73%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.1%) $403.10 (+37%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 20.1%) $342.64 (+16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.30
Bull Case $516.97 (+75%)
Analyst growth 60.4%, PE expands to 44.1
Base Case $469.97 (+60%)
Market implied 60.4%, PE stable at 40.1
Bear Case $199.20 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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