CSW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSW - CSW Industrials, Inc.
$318.93
5.53 (1.76%)
▲
5d:
+10.29%
30d:
+16.71%
90d:
+9.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CSW is 7.2% above its trading range ($297.38). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CSW is 7.2% above its trading range ($297.38). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$485.04
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$301.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSW is currently trading at $318.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $272.31 to $297.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.2) compared to its historical average (23.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $269.52, while resistance sits at $328.84.
Market Sentiment: CSW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $269.52, while resistance sits at $328.84.
Market Sentiment: CSW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$272.31 -
$297.38
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($331.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 34.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$272.31 -
$297.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$269.52
Resistance Level
$328.84
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.23
Wall Street Target
$331.43
(+3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.2%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
27.2 vs 23.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$334.56
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$350.95
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$368.15
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$319.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.2, Growth: 20.1%)
$552.74
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 20.1%)
$420.76
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 20.1%)
$357.65
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.71
Bull Case
$523.66
(+64%)
Analyst growth 51.9%, PE expands to 44.7
Base Case
$476.05
(+49%)
Market implied 51.9%, PE stable at 40.7
Bear Case
$213.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph B Armes
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Don Sullivan
SELL
166 shares
2026-04-15
Luke Alverson
SELL
1007 shares
2026-04-07
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