CVLG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVLG - Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
$43.09
-0.24 (-0.55%)
▼
5d:
-3.84%
30d:
+15.31%
90d:
+64.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
27d
Get Alerted When CVLG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVLG trades at premium valuation expecting 10.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CVLG trades at premium valuation expecting 10.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVLG is currently trading at $43.09, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.37 to $44.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVLG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.55, while resistance sits at $47.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $35.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVLG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.55, while resistance sits at $47.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $35.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.37 -
$44.64
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 18.8% above Wall St target ($35.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.1% growth with 14.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.37 -
$44.64
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.56
Resistance Level
$47.08
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.42
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(-18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.2%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 12.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.44
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$52.23
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$57.51
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 56.7%)
$192.96
(+348%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 56.7%)
$145.43
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 56.7%)
$108.97
(+153%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 27.10 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.59
Bull Case
$52.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$43.09
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$32.96
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CVLG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Ray Parker
SELL
30400 shares
2026-02-20
David Ray Parker
SELL
55000 shares
2026-02-19
David Ray Parker
SELL
65000 shares
2026-02-18
Top Rated Trucking Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Trucking by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XPO
XPO Logistics Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$225 | 55 HOLD |
|
TFII
TFI International Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$158 | 60 HOLD |
|
SAIA
Saia Inc |
BUY
22 analysts |
$453 | 59 HOLD |
|
KNX
Knight Transportation Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$78 | 57 HOLD |
|
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Lin… |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$222 | 53 HOLD |
