CVLT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVLT - Commault Systems, Inc.
$148.65
-1.92 (-1.28%)
▼
5d:
-0.93%
30d:
+18.65%
90d:
+67.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
13d
Get Alerted When CVLT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVLT trades at premium valuation expecting 10.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CVLT trades at premium valuation expecting 10.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$176.56
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVLT is currently trading at $148.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.75 to $146.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.8) compared to its historical average (23.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVLT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $129.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVLT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $129.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$123.75 -
$146.55
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($140.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.1% growth with 13.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$123.75 -
$146.55
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.93
Resistance Level
$129.86
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.79
Wall Street Target
$140.20
(-5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.2%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.1% premium
PE vs Historical
30.8 vs 23.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$163.66
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$180.19
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$198.39
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$148.83
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$228.47
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$161.60
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 15.4%)
$137.36
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 28.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.23
Bull Case
$179.49
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$148.65
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case
$113.72
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CVLT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sanjay Mirchandani
SELL
10052 shares
2026-03-17
Sanjay Mirchandani
SELL
10338 shares
2026-03-16
Gary Merrill
SELL
1892 shares
2026-02-19
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NOW
ServiceNow Inc |
STRONG BUY
47 analysts |
$141 | 59 HOLD |
|
SHOP
Shopify Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$147 | 67 BUY |
|
INTU
Intuit Inc |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$485 | 56 HOLD |
|
CRM
Salesforce.com Inc |
STRONG BUY
55 analysts |
$246 | 65 BUY |
|
TEAM
Atlassian Corp Plc |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$140 | 51 HOLD |
