CW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CW - Curtiss-Wright Corp.

MISC INDUSTRIAL & COMMERCIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$733.88
12.76 (1.77%) ▲
5d: -1.17%
30d: +2.1%
90d: +2.99%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$626.57
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$389.05
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CW is currently trading at $733.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $712.42 to $742.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 43.0) is in line with its historical norms (41.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $708.45, while resistance sits at $758.45.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $712.42 - $742.34
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($788.17)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $712.42 - $742.34
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $708.45
Resistance Level $758.45
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 43.05
Wall Street Target $788.17 (+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 29.1%
Profit Margin 14.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.1% premium
PE vs Historical 43.1 vs 41.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $741.95 (+1%)
2-Year Target $750.11 (+2%)
3-Year Target $758.37 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 43→42) PE COMPRESSION $734.62 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 43.0, Growth: 12.1%) $1033.27 (+41%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.1%) $525.90 (-28%)
Bear: (PE: 18.6, Growth: 12.1%) $447.02 (-39%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 28.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $26.32
Bull Case $902.88 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case $747.73 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case $572.01 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 10:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary A Ogilby SELL 252 shares 2026-03-18
Gary A Ogilby SELL 148 shares 2026-03-17
George P Mcdonald SELL 151 shares 2026-03-17

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