CW
Curtiss-Wright Corp.
MISC INDUSTRIAL & COMMERCIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
Curtiss-Wright (CW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$479.42
+1.50 (+0.31%)
â˛
5d:
+6.04%
30d:
-4.51%
90d:
-30.4%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$466.64 â $514.34
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
27.4x
CHEAP
vs 39.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$627.38
+30.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$432.70 / $504.76
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$654.15
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$406.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CW is currently trading at $479.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $466.64 to $514.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.4) compared to its historical average (39.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $432.70, while resistance sits at $504.76.
Market Sentiment: CW scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $627.38 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $432.70, while resistance sits at $504.76.
Market Sentiment: CW scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $627.38 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$466.64 -
$514.34
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$466.64 -
$514.34
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$432.70
Resistance Level
$504.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($627.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.37
Wall Street Target
$627.38
(+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.9%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.4 vs 39.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$431.48
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$388.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$349.50
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27â39)
$503.17
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$687.68
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$499.04
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$424.18
(-12%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.99
Bull Case
$614.37
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.9%, PE expands to 35.1
Base Case
$558.52
(+17%)
Market implied 16.9%, PE stable at 31.9
Bear Case
$324.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.4 to 39.4
Stabilization Target:
$690.21
(+44.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CW)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Curtiss-Wright (CW) reported Q3 2026 earnings with revenue and EPS beating expectations, and raised full-year guidance. The company's defense and nuclear businesses showed strong momentum.
Key Retail Themes:
Q3 earnings beat
defense and nuclear business momentum
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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