Curtiss-Wright (CW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CW - Curtiss-Wright Corp.
$558.90
-0.84 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
-1.73%
30d:
-22.77%
90d:
-26.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$629.81
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$391.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CW is currently trading at $558.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $575.52 to $696.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.6) compared to its historical average (41.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $555.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $786.29 (+40.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $555.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $786.29 (+40.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$575.52 -
$696.68
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.7% below Wall St target ($786.29)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$575.52 -
$696.68
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$555.00
Resistance Level
$607.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.62
Wall Street Target
$786.29
(+40.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.6 vs 41.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$515.31
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$475.11
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$438.05
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→42)
$558.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.6, Growth: 12.1%)
$787.71
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.1%)
$487.14
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.1%)
$414.07
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.39
Bull Case
$733.21
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.1%, PE expands to 42.8
Base Case
$666.56
(+19%)
Market implied 19.1%, PE stable at 38.9
Bear Case
$380.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.6 to 41.6
Stabilization Target:
$712.86
(+27.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary A Ogilby
SELL
252 shares
2026-03-18
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