Curtiss-Wright (CW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CW - Curtiss-Wright Corp.
$545.64
0.70 (0.13%)
â˛
5d:
+1.09%
30d:
-2.83%
90d:
-31.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$629.91
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$391.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CW is currently trading at $545.64, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $542.87 to $586.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.8) compared to its historical average (40.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $526.01, while resistance sits at $573.51.
Market Sentiment: CW scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $786.25 (+44.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $526.01, while resistance sits at $573.51.
Market Sentiment: CW scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $786.25 (+44.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$542.87 -
$586.63
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.1% below Wall St target ($786.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$542.87 -
$586.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$526.01
Resistance Level
$573.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.84
Wall Street Target
$786.25
(+44.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.8 vs 40.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$501.99
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$461.83
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$424.88
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32â41)
$545.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$767.95
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$492.08
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 12.1%)
$418.27
(-23%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.55
Bull Case
$706.09
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.8%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$641.90
(+18%)
Market implied 17.8%, PE stable at 37.5
Bear Case
$370.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.8 to 40.9
Stabilization Target:
$700.98
(+28.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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