CW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CW - Curtiss-Wright Corp.
$747.67
23.67 (3.27%)
▲
5d:
+0.52%
30d:
-1.65%
90d:
+4.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CW is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CW is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$630.21
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$391.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CW is currently trading at $747.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $718.90 to $765.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 43.7) is in line with its historical norms (42.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $764.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $764.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$718.90 -
$765.10
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($822.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$718.90 -
$765.10
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$670.29
Resistance Level
$764.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.70
Wall Street Target
$822.17
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.1%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
43.7 vs 42.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$756.64
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$765.72
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$774.91
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→42)
PE COMPRESSION
$748.26
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 43.7, Growth: 12.2%)
$1056.89
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.2%)
$501.32
(-33%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 12.2%)
$426.12
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (44x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.40
Bull Case
$936.58
(+29%)
Analyst growth 18.8%, PE expands to 54.7
Base Case
$851.43
(+18%)
Market implied 18.8%, PE stable at 49.8
Bear Case
$487.33
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary A Ogilby
SELL
252 shares
2026-03-18
Gary A Ogilby
SELL
148 shares
2026-03-17
George P Mcdonald
SELL
151 shares
2026-03-17
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