Curtiss-Wright (CW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CW - Curtiss-Wright Corp.
$474.28
-19.91 (-4.03%)
▼
5d:
-5.43%
30d:
-13.0%
90d:
-36.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$636.27
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$395.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CW is currently trading at $474.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $502.47 to $556.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.5) compared to its historical average (40.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $469.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CW scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $691.25 (+45.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $469.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CW scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $691.25 (+45.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$502.47 -
$556.99
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.7% below Wall St target ($691.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$502.47 -
$556.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$469.15
Resistance Level
$514.98
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.52
Wall Street Target
$691.25
(+45.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.5 vs 40.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$426.85
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$384.17
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$345.75
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→40)
$505.04
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.5, Growth: 12.3%)
$670.89
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.3%)
$484.14
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 12.3%)
$411.52
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.52
Bull Case
$645.19
(+36%)
Analyst growth 18.7%, PE expands to 37.4
Base Case
$586.54
(+24%)
Market implied 18.7%, PE stable at 34.0
Bear Case
$336.05
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.5 to 40.2
Stabilization Target:
$692.78
(+46.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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