LHX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LHX - L3Harris Technologies, Inc.
$277.06
5.16 (1.90%)
▲
5d:
-7.71%
30d:
-5.19%
90d:
-13.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LHX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LHX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$511.28
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$317.47
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LHX is currently trading at $277.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $282.34 to $298.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.4) compared to its historical average (24.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LHX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $262.68, while resistance sits at $308.89.
Market Sentiment: LHX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $374.00 (+35.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LHX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $262.68, while resistance sits at $308.89.
Market Sentiment: LHX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $374.00 (+35.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$282.34 -
$298.49
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LHX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.0% below Wall St target ($374.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$282.34 -
$298.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$262.68
Resistance Level
$308.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.40
Wall Street Target
$374.00
(+35.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
190.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.1%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 24.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$261.54
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$246.90
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$233.07
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→24)
$276.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.6%)
$423.93
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 14.6%)
$417.10
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 14.6%)
$354.53
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.05
Bull Case
$448.93
(+62%)
Analyst growth 50.1%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$408.12
(+47%)
Market implied 50.1%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case
$184.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 24.2
Stabilization Target:
$328.73
(+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LHX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard McCormick
SELL
2026-03-19
Jon Rambeau
SELL
5528 shares
2026-03-02
Melanie Rakita
SELL
751 shares
2026-03-02
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