LHX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LHX - L3Harris Technologies, Inc.

SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS
$291.23
5.40 (1.89%) ▲
5d: -4.26%
30d: -4.93%
90d: -15.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your LHX Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026 29d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LHX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$548.22
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$340.40
14.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LHX is currently trading at $291.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $299.74 to $313.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.9) compared to its historical average (24.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LHX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $283.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: LHX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $381.95 (+33.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $299.74 - $313.62
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.6% below Wall St target ($381.95)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $299.74 - $313.62
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $283.74
Resistance Level $318.52
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.94
Wall Street Target $381.95 (+33.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 190.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -6.1%
Profit Margin 10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.9 vs 24.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $270.40 (-5%)
2-Year Target $255.79 (-11%)
3-Year Target $241.98 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→25) $285.44 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.6%) $471.64 (+65%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 16.6%) $453.42 (+59%)
Bear: (PE: 17.8, Growth: 16.6%) $385.41 (+35%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.20
Bull Case $481.19 (+68%)
Analyst growth 48.4%, PE expands to 35.3
Base Case $437.44 (+53%)
Market implied 48.4%, PE stable at 32.1
Bear Case $200.48 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.9 to 24.7
Stabilization Target: $337.17 (+18.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +18.0%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard McCormick SELL 2026-03-19
Jon Rambeau SELL 5528 shares 2026-03-02
Melanie Rakita SELL 751 shares 2026-03-02

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Advanced LHX Option Strategies

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