DBD
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated
CALCULATING & ACCOUNTING MACHINES (NO ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS)
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Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$57.34
-2.75 (-4.58%)
▼
5d:
+2.72%
30d:
-9.36%
90d:
-20.12%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (89%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$58.51 – $67.61
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.3x
CHEAP
vs 11.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$85.00
+48.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$52.87 / $62.08
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DBD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.43
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.33
32.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DBD is currently trading at $57.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.51 to $67.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DBD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $52.87, while resistance sits at $62.08. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: DBD scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.00 (+48.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DBD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $52.87, while resistance sits at $62.08. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: DBD scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.00 (+48.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$58.51 -
$67.61
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$58.51 -
$67.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.82
(4.9%)
Support Level
$52.87
Resistance Level
$62.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 48.2% below Wall St target ($85.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 67/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.34
Wall Street Target
$85.00
(+48.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.9%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.50
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$49.91
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$46.57
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$57.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 31.2%)
$275.36
(+380%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 31.2%)
$129.55
(+126%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 31.2%)
$110.12
(+92%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case
$132.20
(+131%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.3
Base Case
$120.18
(+110%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.5
Bear Case
$40.86
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$70.57
(+23.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DBD)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bearish StockTwits user claims $DBD engaged in manipulative practices after emerging from bankruptcy, purchasing their own shares to artificially inflate the price.
Key Retail Themes:
company manipulation
past bankruptcy
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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