Docebo Inc. Common Shares (DCBO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DCBO - Docebo Inc. Common Shares

Services-Prepackaged Software
$23.44
0.39 (1.69%) ▲
5d: +4.78%
30d: -7.7%
90d: +28.51%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DCBO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.97
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.20
3.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DCBO is currently trading at $23.44, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.98 to $25.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DCBO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: DCBO scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.25 (+24.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $22.98 - $25.16
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 93.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($29.25)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with 13.0% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.98 - $25.16
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.22
Resistance Level $24.05
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.28
Wall Street Target $29.25 (+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -20.0%
Profit Margin 13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium
PE vs Historical 11.3 vs 10.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.72 (+1%)
2-Year Target $24.01 (+2%)
3-Year Target $24.29 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) PE COMPRESSION $23.47 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 19.2%) $71.83 (+206%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 19.2%) $39.72 (+70%)
Bear: (PE: 9.6, Growth: 19.2%) $33.77 (+44%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.15
Bull Case $45.80 (+95%)
Analyst growth 80.7%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case $41.64 (+78%)
Market implied 80.7%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case $15.67 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
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