Donaldson (DCI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DCI - Donaldson Company, Inc.

INDUSTRIAL & COMMERCIAL FANS & BLOWERS & AIR PURIFING EQUIP
$89.25
1.07 (1.21%) ▲
5d: -1.49%
30d: -7.29%
90d: +4.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DCI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.18
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.31
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DCI is currently trading at $89.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.46 to $96.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.3) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DCI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: DCI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.60 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $90.46 - $96.45
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($99.60)
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $90.46 - $96.45
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.65 (4.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $87.99
Resistance Level $93.18
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.26
Wall Street Target $99.60 (+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.0%
Profit Margin 11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.3 vs 21.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $88.09 (-1%)
2-Year Target $86.94 (-3%)
3-Year Target $85.81 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→21) $89.37 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.3, Growth: 11.3%) $123.15 (+38%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.3%) $122.60 (+37%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 11.3%) $104.21 (+17%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.78
Bull Case $113.04 (+27%)
Analyst growth 16.5%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case $102.76 (+15%)
Market implied 16.5%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case $59.96 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 21.1
Stabilization Target: $92.95 (+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.1%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Owens SELL 13753 shares 2026-04-14
James Owens SELL 5921 shares 2026-04-13
James Owens SELL 126 shares 2026-04-10

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