Diodes (DIOD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$91.60
+0.33 (+0.36%)
â˛
5d:
+34.0%
30d:
+5.64%
90d:
-11.48%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (81%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$79.47 â $95.33
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.4x
CHEAP
vs 20.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$126.75
+38.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
29th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$67.32 / $94.64
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DIOD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$255.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$158.94
42.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DIOD is currently trading at $91.60, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.47 to $95.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 208.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIOD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $67.32, while resistance sits at $94.64.
Market Sentiment: DIOD scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.75 (+38.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIOD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $67.32, while resistance sits at $94.64.
Market Sentiment: DIOD scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.75 (+38.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$79.47 -
$95.33
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
29th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$79.47 -
$95.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$9.44
(10.3%)
Support Level
$67.32
Resistance Level
$94.64
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding DIOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.4% below Wall St target ($126.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.43
Wall Street Target
$126.75
(+38.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
208.6%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 20.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.44
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$74.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$66.78
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â21)
$95.82
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 73.7%)
$425.62
(+365%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 73.7%)
$309.15
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 73.7%)
$262.78
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case
$200.79
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.2
Base Case
$182.54
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.5
Bear Case
$62.06
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 20.7
Stabilization Target:
$131.44
(+43.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+43.5%
Share DIOD Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DIOD)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits announced opening starter positions for $DIOD and $BFAM with a price target of $10,000.
Key Retail Themes:
bullish sentiment
new positions opened
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 5:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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