DNUT Krispy Kreme, Inc. Common Stock RETAIL-FOOD STORES

Krispy Kreme (DNUT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$3.82
-0.03 (-0.78%) ▼
5d: +8.52% 30d: +24.43% 90d: +16.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (26%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$2.79 – $3.68
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
63.1x FAIR
vs 65.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$4.52
+18.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.06 / $5.03
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DNUT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DNUT is currently trading at $3.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.79 to $3.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 63.1) is in line with its historical norms (65.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DNUT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.06, while resistance sits at $5.03.

Market Sentiment: DNUT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.52 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $2.79 - $3.68
Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 26.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $2.79 - $3.68
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $3.06
Resistance Level $5.03
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($4.52)
  • WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 63.14
Wall Street Target $4.52 (+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -12.4%
Profit Margin -5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 63.1 vs 65.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.78 (-1%)
2-Year Target $3.74 (-2%)
3-Year Target $3.70 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 63→65) $3.82 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 63.1, Growth: 80.1%) $12.89 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 80.1%) $4.06 (+6%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 80.1%) $3.45 (-10%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 63.1 to 65.2
Stabilization Target: $3.94 (+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DNUT)

Bearish 6 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
4
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Krispy Kreme reported a smaller loss in its third quarter and focused on a less capital-intensive strategy, which led to improved free cash flow and a lower net leverage ratio. The stock price reacted positively to the earnings report.
Key Retail Themes: earnings surprise refranchising strategy improving financials
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:23 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive DNUT Research Pages
DNUT Technical Chart DNUT Price Prediction DNUT Intrinsic Value DCF DNUT Earnings Date Why is DNUT Moving Today? DNUT Investment Advisor DNUT Fair Price Analyzer DNUT Options Chain DNUT Options Advisor DNUT Options Analysis DNUT Competitors
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