DNUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DNUT - Krispy Kreme, Inc. Common Stock

RETAIL-FOOD STORES
$3.51
-0.21 (-5.65%) ▼
5d: -1.4%
30d: +4.78%
90d: +3.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DNUT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DNUT is currently trading at $3.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.37 to $3.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 65.7) is in line with its historical norms (70.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DNUT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.26, while resistance sits at $3.89. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.35 (+23.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $3.37 - $3.87
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.9% below Wall St target ($4.35)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.37 - $3.87
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.26
Resistance Level $3.89
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 65.73
Wall Street Target $4.35 (+23.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.2%
Profit Margin -33.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 65.7 vs 70.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.44 (-2%)
2-Year Target $3.36 (-4%)
3-Year Target $3.29 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 66→70) $3.51 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 65.7, Growth: 153.1%) $11.85 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 153.1%) $3.93 (+12%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 153.1%) $3.34 (-5%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 65.7 to 70.1
Stabilization Target: $3.74 (+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.6%
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Last updated: July 02, 2026 10:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:34 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Tim Moore SELL 2026-03-17
Tim Moore BUY 2026-02-12

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