Grocery Outlet (GO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GO - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock
$13.90
0.75 (5.70%)
▲
5d:
+6.43%
30d:
+24.55%
90d:
+54.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.65
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GO is currently trading at $13.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.14 to $12.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: GO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.92. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: GO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.92. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.14 -
$12.64
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+10.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.7%)
- BEARISH: Trading 21.4% above Wall St target ($10.92)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.1% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.14 -
$12.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.73
Resistance Level
$13.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.65
Wall Street Target
$10.92
(-21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 13.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.86
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$18.10
(+30%)
3-Year Target
$20.65
(+49%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 23.5%)
$26.16
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.5%)
$25.15
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 23.5%)
$17.61
(+27%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 8:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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