Grocery Outlet (GO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GO - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock
$11.25
0.17 (1.53%)
â˛
5d:
-8.54%
30d:
+10.62%
90d:
+19.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.89
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GO is currently trading at $11.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.27 to $12.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.27 -
$12.06
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.73)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.27 -
$12.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.03
Resistance Level
$12.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.72
Wall Street Target
$10.73
(-4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 13.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.13
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$13.07
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$14.09
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 23.5%)
$25.55
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 23.5%)
$21.17
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 23.5%)
$16.85
(+50%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jason J N Potter
BUY
2556 shares
2026-03-24
Jason J N Potter
BUY
110252 shares
2026-03-23
Erik D Ragatz
BUY
50000 shares
2026-03-19
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