GO
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock
RETAIL-GROCERY STORES
Grocery Outlet (GO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$12.85
-0.27 (-2.06%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.21%
30d:
+0.94%
90d:
+15.45%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (40%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$12.16 â $13.48
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.7x
STRETCHED
vs 14.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$11.54
-10.2% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.50 / $14.33
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.58
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GO is currently trading at $12.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.16 to $13.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GO scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $11.54. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GO scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $11.54. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.16 -
$13.48
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$12.16 -
$13.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$12.50
Resistance Level
$14.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.2% above Wall St target ($11.54)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.70
Wall Street Target
$11.54
(-10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.4% premium
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 14.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.31
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$15.95
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$17.76
(+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.7%)
$22.76
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 20.7%)
$22.57
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 20.7%)
$16.39
(+28%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GO)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits expresses optimism about $GO, expecting a significant boost from government dollars and the return of Benny. No new information was found in the latest Yahoo Finance news.
Key Retail Themes:
government stimulus
return of Benny
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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