GO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GO - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock
$9.47
0.11 (1.18%)
▲
5d:
-1.56%
30d:
+18.23%
90d:
+46.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: GO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.75
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GO is currently trading at $9.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.00 to $9.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.46. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.46. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.00 -
$9.35
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.6% above Wall St target ($8.46)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.2% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.00 -
$9.35
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.79
Resistance Level
$9.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.03
Wall Street Target
$8.46
(-10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.7%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 12.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.15
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$10.88
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$11.67
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.3%)
$26.34
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 24.3%)
$18.18
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 24.3%)
$14.76
(+56%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
6
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jason J N Potter
BUY
2556 shares
2026-03-24
Jason J N Potter
BUY
110252 shares
2026-03-23
Erik D Ragatz
BUY
50000 shares
2026-03-19
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