GO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GO - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock
$8.27
-0.20 (-2.36%)
▼
5d:
+0.73%
30d:
+3.89%
90d:
-5.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.39
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.93
7.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GO is currently trading at $8.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.74 to $8.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.50, while resistance sits at $8.72.
Market Sentiment: GO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.50, while resistance sits at $8.72.
Market Sentiment: GO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.74 -
$8.30
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.46)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.74 -
$8.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.50
Resistance Level
$8.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.44
Wall Street Target
$8.46
(-0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.7%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.81
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$9.16
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$9.53
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 24.3%)
$26.50
(+213%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 24.3%)
$16.26
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 24.3%)
$13.82
(+63%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 4:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
6
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jason J N Potter
BUY
2556 shares
2026-03-24
Jason J N Potter
BUY
110252 shares
2026-03-23
Erik D Ragatz
BUY
50000 shares
2026-03-19
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