DDL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDL - Dingdong (Cayman) Limited American Depositary Shares (each two representing three Ordinary Shares)
$2.47
0.11 (4.66%)
â˛
5d:
+3.35%
30d:
+3.78%
90d:
-4.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DDL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DDL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.73
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.94
15.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDL is currently trading at $2.47, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.24 to $2.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.0) compared to its historical average (1.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2790.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: DDL scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.38 (+36.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: DDL scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.38 (+36.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2.24 -
$2.43
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.9% below Wall St target ($3.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.24 -
$2.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.20
Resistance Level
$2.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.96
Wall Street Target
$3.38
(+36.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
195.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2790.3%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.0 vs 1.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.37
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$2.27
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$2.17
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1â1)
$2.49
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.8%)
$84.59
(+3325%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 17.8%)
$4.04
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$3.44
(+39%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.12
Bull Case
$5.19
(+110%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$4.72
(+91%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$1.60
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.0 to 1.1
Stabilization Target:
$2.83
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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