SFM
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
RETAIL-GROCERY STORES
Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$50.56
+1.69 (+3.46%)
▲
5d:
-7.06%
30d:
-20.5%
90d:
-38.85%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect SFM Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (93%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$53.05 – $67.11
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.7x
CHEAP
vs 13.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$56.92
+12.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$47.35 / $55.60
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SFM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 3, 2026 at $53.30 · last confirmed Nov 5, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.11
Based on -4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SFM is currently trading at $50.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.05 to $67.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $47.35, while resistance sits at $55.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: SFM scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.92 (+12.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $47.35, while resistance sits at $55.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: SFM scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.92 (+12.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$53.05 -
$67.11
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$53.05 -
$67.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$47.35
Resistance Level
$55.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding SFM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.92)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.1%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.71
Wall Street Target
$56.92
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.74
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$46.99
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$45.29
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$50.68
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -12.5%)
$62.53
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: -12.5%)
$36.86
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: -12.5%)
$31.33
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.23
Bull Case
$44.39
(-12%)
Analyst growth -17.4%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$40.36
(-20%)
Market implied -17.4%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$33.23
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$56.58
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SFM)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates $SFM on StockTwits with no newsworthy events or articles reported.
Key Retail Themes:
Bearish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SFM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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