Douglas Elliman (DOUG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOUG - Douglas Elliman Inc.
$1.73
0.01 (0.58%)
▲
5d:
-4.95%
30d:
-14.36%
90d:
-1.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOUG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOUG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOUG is currently trading at $1.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.77 to $1.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOUG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $1.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.20 (+85.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOUG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $1.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.20 (+85.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$1.77 -
$1.96
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 85.0% below Wall St target ($3.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.77 -
$1.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.69
Resistance Level
$1.87
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.30
Wall Street Target
$3.20
(+85.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.1%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 20.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.64
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$1.55
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$1.46
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$1.74
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.29
Bull Case
$0.95
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.5
Base Case
$0.86
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 5.9
Bear Case
$1.17
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 20.5
Stabilization Target:
$2.05
(+18.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DOUG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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