DT Dynatrace, Inc. SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE Best Software Stocks 2026 →

Dynatrace (DT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$44.24
+0.75 (+1.72%) ▲
5d: -5.43% 30d: -31.38% 90d: -12.83%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$49.89 – $65.71
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.1x FAIR
vs 23.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$61.26
+38.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$42.69 / $62.30
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.07
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.51
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DT is currently trading at $44.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.89 to $65.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.1) is in line with its historical norms (23.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.69, while resistance sits at $62.30.

Market Sentiment: DT scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.26 (+38.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $49.89 - $65.71
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $49.89 - $65.71
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $42.69
Resistance Level $62.30
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($61.26)
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.10
Wall Street Target $61.26 (+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 21.2%
Profit Margin 7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.1 vs 23.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.75 (-1%)
2-Year Target $43.27 (-2%)
3-Year Target $42.80 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→24) $44.27 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.1, Growth: 13.9%) $65.35 (+48%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.9%) $56.18 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.9%) $47.75 (+8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 23.26 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.90
Bull Case $53.42 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case $44.24 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case $33.84 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.1 to 23.9
Stabilization Target: $45.77 (+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.4%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DT)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Traders on StockTwits express bullish sentiment towards $DT with no recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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