Is DUOL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, DUOL is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DUOL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of DUOL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for DUOL to be between $125.60 and $137.54. The current price is $144.10.

What is the analyst price target for DUOL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for DUOL is $120.12. This implies a potential upside of -16.6% from current levels.

DUOL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DUOL - Duolingo, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$144.10

9.47 (7.03%) ▲

5d: +17.56%

30d: +9.82%

90d: +37.26%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your DUOL Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $130.90 · last confirmed Aug 13, 2026

Strength: 6.2/10

Get Alerted When DUOL Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DUOL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 15.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$198.64

Based on 9.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$123.34

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DUOL is currently trading at $144.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $125.60 to $137.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DUOL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $146.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $120.12. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $125.60 - $137.54

Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 49.5%

Protect Your Profits

Holding DUOL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.0%)
BEARISH: Trading 16.6% above Wall St target ($120.12)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with 18.3% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $125.60 - $137.54

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $112.02

Resistance Level $146.85

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.77

Wall Street Target $120.12 (-16.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -27.5%

Profit Margin 35.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +5.0% premium

PE vs Historical 18.8 vs 16.2 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +5.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $151.30 (+5%)

2-Year Target $158.87 (+10%)

3-Year Target $166.81 (+16%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→16) PE COMPRESSION $143.95 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.8%) $241.04 (+67%)

Base: (SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 15.8%) $223.68 (+55%)

Bear: (PE: 16.0, Growth: 15.8%) $190.13 (+32%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 16.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.41

Bull Case $135.17 (-6%)

Analyst growth -8.7%, PE expands to 17.6

Base Case $122.88 (-15%)

Market implied -8.7%, PE stable at 16.0

Bear Case $91.55 (-37%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: August 13, 2026 10:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is DUOL showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

James H Shelton BUY 5000 shares 2026-03-03

Natalie Glance SELL 3545 shares 2026-02-18

Matthew Skaruppa SELL 3986 shares 2026-02-18

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for DUOL.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Software - Application Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
HUBS HubSpot Inc	STRONG BUY 36 analysts	$243	42 HOLD
NOW ServiceNow Inc	STRONG BUY 47 analysts	$140	36 SELL
GRAB Grab Holdings Ltd	STRONG BUY 27 analysts	$6	45 HOLD
ADSK Autodesk Inc	STRONG BUY 32 analysts	$314	41 HOLD
TEAM Atlassian Corp Plc	STRONG BUY 33 analysts	$154	33 SELL

GRAB Grab Holdings Ltd

45 HOLD

ADSK Autodesk Inc

41 HOLD

TEAM Atlassian Corp Plc

33 SELL

Advanced DUOL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DUOL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for DUOL

DUOL Technical Chart DUOL Price Prediction DUOL Earnings Date DUOL Investment Advisor DUOL Fair Price Analyzer DUOL Options Advisor DUOL Options Chain DUOL Options Analysis DUOL Competitors

Compare DUOL with Peers

DUOL vs HIMS
Which one to buy?

DUOL vs MNDY
Which one to buy?

DUOL vs APP
Which one to buy?

DUOL vs GTLB
Which one to buy?

DUOL vs CELH
Which one to buy?

GWRE vs DUOL

ABI vs DUOL

ABUS vs DUOL
Winner: ABUS

PTC vs DUOL
Winner: PTC

DUOL vs BILL

ABTC vs DUOL
Winner: DUOL

SSNC vs DUOL

MNDY vs DUOL
Winner: DUOL

DUOL vs FROG
Winner: DUOL

DUOL vs CWAN

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie