DaVita (DVA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DVA - DaVita Inc.

SERVICES-MISC HEALTH & ALLIED SERVICES, NEC
$186.10
9.29 (5.25%) ▲
5d: -1.62%
30d: +1.62%
90d: -20.96%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 6d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 20, 2026 at $176.79 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026

Strength: 4.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$283.55
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$176.06
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DVA is currently trading at $186.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $176.48 to $186.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $191.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $219.86 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $176.48 - $186.64
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.9%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($219.86)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $176.48 - $186.64
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $171.09
Resistance Level $191.20
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.86
Wall Street Target $219.86 (+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 55.8%
Profit Margin 6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.4% premium
PE vs Historical 10.9 vs 10.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $188.71 (+1%)
2-Year Target $191.35 (+3%)
3-Year Target $194.03 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $185.89 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.6%) $526.54 (+183%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 15.6%) $287.80 (+55%)
Bear: (PE: 9.2, Growth: 15.6%) $244.63 (+32%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.84
Bull Case $279.29 (+58%)
Analyst growth 44.8%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case $253.90 (+44%)
Market implied 44.8%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case $119.24 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
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0
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced DVA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DVA price and gamma walls.

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