DVAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DVAX - Dynavax Technologies Corporation

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$15.50
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
5d: +0.06%
30d: +0.58%
90d: +41.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Feb 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: DVAX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.56
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.18
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DVAX is currently trading at $15.50, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 47.0) compared to its historical average (41.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DVAX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: DVAX scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+41.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 46.2%

Protect Your Profits

DVAX is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($22.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.46
Resistance Level $15.59
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Feb 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 46.97
Wall Street Target $22.00 (+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 69.3%
Profit Margin -13.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.6% premium
PE vs Historical 47.0 vs 41.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.21 (+5%)
2-Year Target $16.96 (+9%)
3-Year Target $17.74 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 47→41) PE COMPRESSION $15.48 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 3:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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