EBS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EBS - Emergent Biosolutions, Inc.
$8.01
0.16 (2.04%)
▲
5d:
-3.38%
30d:
-4.3%
90d:
-0.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EBS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EBS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.01
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.08
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EBS is currently trading at $8.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.91 to $8.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EBS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.56, while resistance sits at $8.49.
Market Sentiment: EBS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+49.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EBS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.56, while resistance sits at $8.49.
Market Sentiment: EBS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+49.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.91 -
$8.69
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EBS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.8% below Wall St target ($12.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.91 -
$8.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.56
Resistance Level
$8.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.80
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+49.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-29.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-93.8%
Profit Margin
-1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 14.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.21
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.49
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.84
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→14)
$9.55
(+19%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -4.2%)
$17.42
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: -4.2%)
$7.04
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -4.2%)
$5.98
(-25%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$13.10
(+63.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+63.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EBS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced EBS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EBS price and gamma walls.
