EuroDry Ltd. Common Shares (EDRY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EDRY - EuroDry Ltd. Common Shares

Water Transportation
$44.49
-0.83 (-1.83%) ▼
5d: -2.65%
30d: -12.59%
90d: +79.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026 19d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EDRY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.71
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.35
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EDRY is currently trading at $44.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.14 to $62.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EDRY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.00, while resistance sits at $60.70.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $47.14 - $62.86
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.33)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $47.14 - $62.86
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.00
Resistance Level $60.70
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.39
Wall Street Target $45.33
Revenue Growth (YoY) 57.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.3%
Profit Margin 15.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.4 vs 8.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.87 (-3%)
2-Year Target $42.47 (-6%)
3-Year Target $41.11 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→8) $45.59 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.3%) $117.10 (+158%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: -1.3%) $43.59 (-4%)
Bear: (PE: 6.3, Growth: -1.3%) $37.05 (-18%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.19
Bull Case $100.60 (+122%)
Analyst growth 92.2%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case $91.45 (+102%)
Market implied 92.2%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case $32.36 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 8.2
Stabilization Target: $50.27 (+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +10.9%
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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