EuroDry Ltd. Common Shares (EDRY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EDRY - EuroDry Ltd. Common Shares

Water Transportation
$55.88
0.15 (0.27%) ▲
5d: +16.03%
30d: -0.23%
90d: +144.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: EDRY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.05
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.94
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EDRY is currently trading at $55.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.82 to $64.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EDRY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.30, while resistance sits at $71.78.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $45.33. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $49.82 - $64.44
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 18.9% above Wall St target ($45.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.9% growth with 57.0% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $49.82 - $64.44
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $46.30
Resistance Level $71.78
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.12
Wall Street Target $45.33 (-18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 57.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.3%
Profit Margin 15.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.9% premium
PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 8.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $58.06 (+4%)
2-Year Target $60.32 (+8%)
3-Year Target $62.68 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→8) PE COMPRESSION $55.69 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: -1.3%) $120.28 (+115%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: -1.3%) $53.75 (-4%)
Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: -1.3%) $45.69 (-18%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.33
Bull Case $112.85 (+102%)
Analyst growth 84.1%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case $102.59 (+84%)
Market implied 84.1%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case $37.90 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
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NEUTRAL

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