Excelerate Energy (EE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$38.02
+0.48 (+1.28%)
▲
5d:
+10.88%
30d:
+8.66%
90d:
+6.8%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
27/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$32.81 – $36.05
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.9x
FAIR
vs 15.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$43.92
+15.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$33.50 / $38.67
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.70
8.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EE is currently trading at $38.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.81 to $36.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (15.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.92 (+15.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.92 (+15.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.81 -
$36.05
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$32.81 -
$36.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$33.50
Resistance Level
$38.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($43.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 26/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.87
Wall Street Target
$43.92
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-24.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 15.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.27
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$40.57
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$41.91
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 31.9%)
$102.70
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 31.9%)
$87.22
(+129%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 31.9%)
$74.14
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.46
Bull Case
$64.50
(+72%)
Analyst growth 57.4%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$58.64
(+56%)
Market implied 57.4%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$25.33
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EE)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Traders on StockTwits express a bullish sentiment towards $EE with one user suggesting a sneaky potential for gains.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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