ELMD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ELMD - Electromed, Inc.
$39.45
-0.55 (-1.37%)
▼
5d:
-4.29%
30d:
+3.33%
90d:
+2.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ELMD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ELMD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.57
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.47
0.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ELMD is currently trading at $39.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.72 to $42.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.7) compared to its historical average (23.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELMD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ELMD scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELMD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ELMD scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$39.72 -
$42.29
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
46th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ELMD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 46th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.72 -
$42.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.50
(11.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.26
Resistance Level
$43.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.66
Wall Street Target
$40.33
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.7%
Profit Margin
14.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
26.7 vs 23.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.03
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$42.67
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$44.38
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.7, Growth: 21.6%)
$71.00
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 21.6%)
$53.46
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 21.6%)
$45.44
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$55.66
(+41%)
Analyst growth 26.5%, PE expands to 37.6
Base Case
$50.60
(+28%)
Market implied 26.5%, PE stable at 34.2
Bear Case
$27.20
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ELMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ELMD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ELMD price and gamma walls.
