Equity Lifestyle Properties (ELS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ELS - Equity Lifestyle Properties, Inc.
$60.08
-0.22 (-0.36%)
▼
5d:
-4.04%
30d:
-6.08%
90d:
-6.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ELS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ELS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.74
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ELS is currently trading at $60.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.42 to $65.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.6) is in line with its historical norms (29.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ELS scores 7/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.63 (+17.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ELS scores 7/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.63 (+17.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$62.42 -
$65.58
Company Quality Score
24/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (7/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.63)
- WARNING: Composite score 24/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.42 -
$65.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.74
Resistance Level
$64.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.62
Wall Street Target
$70.63
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Profit Margin
25.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.6 vs 29.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.64
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$57.23
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$55.86
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→30)
$60.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.6, Growth: 6.2%)
$72.01
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.2%)
$52.60
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 6.2%)
$44.71
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.04
Bull Case
$70.74
(+18%)
Analyst growth 6.6%, PE expands to 32.5
Base Case
$64.31
(+7%)
Market implied 6.6%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case
$41.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.6 to 29.7
Stabilization Target:
$64.62
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ELS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David J Contis
SELL
3000 shares
2026-03-18
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