Equity Lifestyle Properties (ELS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$61.98
-0.70 (-1.12%)
▼
5d:
-0.83%
30d:
+5.16%
90d:
-4.66%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
29/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$58.60 – $61.79
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
28.2x
FAIR
vs 29.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$68.11
+9.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$58.19 / $64.00
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ELS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When ELS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.14
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ELS is currently trading at $61.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.60 to $61.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.2) is in line with its historical norms (29.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $58.19, while resistance sits at $64.00.
Market Sentiment: ELS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $58.19, while resistance sits at $64.00.
Market Sentiment: ELS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$58.60 -
$61.79
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$58.60 -
$61.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$58.19
Resistance Level
$64.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.11)
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.21
Wall Street Target
$68.11
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.1%
Profit Margin
24.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.2 vs 29.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.17
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$60.38
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$59.59
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→29)
$61.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.2, Growth: 10.1%)
$82.64
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.1%)
$58.18
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.1%)
$49.45
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$75.00
(+21%)
Analyst growth 8.8%, PE expands to 34.1
Base Case
$68.18
(+10%)
Market implied 8.8%, PE stable at 31.0
Bear Case
$42.62
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.2 to 29.3
Stabilization Target:
$64.38
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share ELS Analysis
Share this live ELS analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ELS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 22, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Equity Lifestyle Properties (ELS) reported Q1 FFO in line with estimates, but missed revenue estimates. The company has exceeded FFO estimates in two of the last four quarters. The stock has added about 8.9% year-to-date.
Key Retail Themes:
Q1 earnings report
FFO expectations
Stock performance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ELS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Residential Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Residential by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVB
AvalonBay Communities Inc |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$201 | 68 BUY |
|
INVH
Invitation Homes Inc |
BUY
25 analysts |
$33 | 46 HOLD |
|
AMH
American Homes 4 Rent |
BUY
24 analysts |
$37 | 39 SELL |
|
ESS
Essex Property Trust Inc |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$297 | 46 HOLD |
|
EQR
Equity Residential |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$73 | 46 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive ELS Research Pages