Equity Lifestyle Properties (ELS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ELS - Equity Lifestyle Properties, Inc.
$58.22
0.60 (1.04%)
▲
5d:
-1.71%
30d:
-7.76%
90d:
-10.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ELS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ELS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.63
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ELS is currently trading at $58.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.55 to $63.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.4) compared to its historical average (29.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.05 (+21.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.05 (+21.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$59.55 -
$63.56
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.6% below Wall St target ($70.05)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.55 -
$63.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.46
Resistance Level
$60.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.40
Wall Street Target
$70.05
(+21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Profit Margin
25.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.4 vs 29.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.49
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$53.44
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$51.46
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→30)
$57.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.4, Growth: 6.6%)
$69.74
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.6%)
$53.90
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 6.6%)
$45.81
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case
$67.98
(+18%)
Analyst growth 6.0%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$61.80
(+7%)
Market implied 6.0%, PE stable at 28.3
Bear Case
$39.66
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.4 to 29.6
Stabilization Target:
$64.61
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ELS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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