ESAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESAB - ESAB Corporation
$81.40
2.82 (3.59%)
▲
5d:
-4.02%
30d:
-2.71%
90d:
-10.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ESAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ESAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$184.73
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.71
29.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESAB is currently trading at $81.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.98 to $90.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESAB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $77.34, while resistance sits at $91.41. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $131.18 (+61.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESAB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $77.34, while resistance sits at $91.41. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $131.18 (+61.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$82.98 -
$90.87
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 61.2% below Wall St target ($131.18)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.98 -
$90.87
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.34
Resistance Level
$91.41
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.47
Wall Street Target
$131.18
(+61.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.1%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.40
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$68.00
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$62.15
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$81.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 19.6%)
$224.29
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 19.6%)
$139.34
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 19.6%)
$118.44
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.19
Bull Case
$172.88
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$157.16
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$53.43
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$106.41
(+30.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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