CRS
Carpenter Technology Corp
STEEL WORKS, BLAST FURNACES & ROLLING MILLS (COKE OVENS)
Carpenter Technology (CRS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$304.86
+7.49 (+2.52%)
▲
5d:
+4.37%
30d:
-19.86%
90d:
-43.08%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (92%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$286.89 – $379.36
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.6x
CHEAP
vs 34.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$438.00
+43.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$270.49 / $313.50
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.1% annual earnings decline despite 34% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$590.10
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$366.40
16.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRS is currently trading at $304.86, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $286.89 to $379.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.6) compared to its historical average (34.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $313.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CRS scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $438.00 (+43.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $313.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CRS scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $438.00 (+43.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$286.89 -
$379.36
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$286.89 -
$379.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$21.11
(6.9%)
Support Level
$270.49
Resistance Level
$313.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.7% below Wall St target ($438.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.61
Wall Street Target
$438.00
(+43.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.7%
Profit Margin
17.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.6 vs 34.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$274.37
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$246.94
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$222.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→35)
$327.61
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.6, Growth: 22.0%)
$553.90
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.0%)
$465.97
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 22.0%)
$396.07
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.04
Bull Case
$382.62
(+26%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 29.6
Base Case
$347.83
(+14%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 26.9
Bear Case
$202.21
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.6 to 34.8
Stabilization Target:
$449.39
(+47.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+47.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CRS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate bullish sentiment towards $CRS, with traders attributing potential budget negotiations as a potential leverage point for Trump. No recent news articles were available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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