Carpenter Technology (CRS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRS - Carpenter Technology Corp
$292.26
-75.90 (-20.62%)
▼
5d:
-23.2%
30d:
-26.02%
90d:
-51.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRS is down 23.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRS is down 23.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$590.10
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$366.40
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRS is currently trading at $292.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $367.24 to $409.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.5) compared to its historical average (35.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 46.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $284.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 20.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $536.25 (+45.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $284.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 20.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $536.25 (+45.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$367.24 -
$409.42
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-20.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.7% below Wall St target ($536.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$367.24 -
$409.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$284.27
Resistance Level
$392.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.51
Wall Street Target
$536.25
(+45.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.4%
Profit Margin
17.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.5 vs 35.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$342.02
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$317.74
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$295.18
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→36)
$368.59
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.5, Growth: 22.0%)
$668.91
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.0%)
$465.97
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 22.0%)
$396.07
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.35
Bull Case
$511.28
(+39%)
Analyst growth 24.8%, PE expands to 39.6
Base Case
$464.80
(+26%)
Market implied 24.8%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case
$253.32
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.5 to 35.6
Stabilization Target:
$459.72
(+24.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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