CRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRS - Carpenter Technology Corp
$566.85
-11.76 (-2.03%)
▼
5d:
-8.46%
30d:
+8.37%
90d:
+30.22%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRS trades at premium valuation expecting 8.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CRS trades at premium valuation expecting 8.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$553.89
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$343.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRS is currently trading at $566.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $534.04 to $607.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 44.7) compared to its historical average (35.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $477.83, while resistance sits at $585.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $477.83, while resistance sits at $585.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$534.04 -
$607.19
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
21th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 21th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($525.22)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.5% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$534.04 -
$607.19
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$45.25
(8.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$477.83
Resistance Level
$585.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.71
Wall Street Target
$525.22
(-7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.3%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.5% premium
PE vs Historical
44.7 vs 35.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$615.03
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$667.31
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$724.03
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$566.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.7, Growth: 19.9%)
$976.81
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.9%)
$475.89
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 19.9%)
$404.50
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 23.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $24.26
Bull Case
$684.47
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$566.85
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$433.64
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James D Dee
SELL
15800 shares
2026-02-24
Steven E Karol
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-19
Steven E Karol
SELL
3500 shares
2026-02-19
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Advanced CRS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRS price and gamma walls.
