Franklin Electric (FELE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FELE - Franklin Electric Co Inc
$98.65
2.18 (2.26%)
▲
5d:
+1.63%
30d:
+1.09%
90d:
-6.39%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FELE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FELE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.29
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FELE is currently trading at $98.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.85 to $99.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FELE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $99.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FELE scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.50 (+20.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FELE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $99.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FELE scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.50 (+20.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$95.85 -
$99.94
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($118.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.85 -
$99.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$94.76
Resistance Level
$99.23
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.11
Wall Street Target
$118.50
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$96.10
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$94.85
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$98.78
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$144.12
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 11.0%)
$135.00
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 11.0%)
$114.75
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.50
Bull Case
$156.52
(+59%)
Analyst growth 47.5%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case
$142.29
(+44%)
Market implied 47.5%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case
$65.60
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.1 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$102.73
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FELE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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