Franklin Electric (FELE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FELE - Franklin Electric Co Inc
$97.83
0.69 (0.71%)
▲
5d:
-1.45%
30d:
-8.94%
90d:
-4.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FELE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FELE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.03
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FELE is currently trading at $97.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.03 to $106.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.9) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FELE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FELE scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.50 (+21.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FELE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FELE scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.50 (+21.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$99.03 -
$106.77
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($118.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.03 -
$106.77
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.77
Resistance Level
$102.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.95
Wall Street Target
$118.50
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.07
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$94.34
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$92.64
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$97.77
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.0%)
$142.49
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.0%)
$133.87
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 11.0%)
$113.79
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.44
Bull Case
$160.36
(+64%)
Analyst growth 50.1%, PE expands to 31.1
Base Case
$145.78
(+49%)
Market implied 50.1%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$66.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 20.0
Stabilization Target:
$103.25
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FELE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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