FELE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FELE - Franklin Electric Co Inc
$103.21
-0.42 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
-2.06%
30d:
+3.59%
90d:
+2.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FELE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FELE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.28
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FELE is currently trading at $103.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.31 to $106.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.3) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FELE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $103.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FELE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $103.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$101.31 -
$106.04
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($113.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$101.31 -
$106.04
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.52
Resistance Level
$103.90
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.32
Wall Street Target
$113.25
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.93
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$104.66
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$105.39
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$103.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.8%)
$150.49
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 10.8%)
$140.38
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 10.8%)
$119.32
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.32
Bull Case
$174.42
(+69%)
Analyst growth 53.0%, PE expands to 34.3
Base Case
$158.57
(+54%)
Market implied 53.0%, PE stable at 31.2
Bear Case
$70.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FELE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Joseph A Ruzynski
BUY
500 shares
2026-02-19
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