FELE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FELE - Franklin Electric Co Inc

MOTORS & GENERATORS
$104.10
0.84 (0.81%) ▲
5d: -1.58%
30d: -1.4%
90d: +7.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: FELE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.03
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.92
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FELE is currently trading at $104.10, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.80 to $108.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FELE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $101.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.50 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $103.80 - $108.21
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($118.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $103.80 - $108.21
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $101.84
Resistance Level $109.50
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.16
Wall Street Target $118.50 (+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 11.4%
Profit Margin 7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.2% premium
PE vs Historical 20.2 vs 20.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $104.31 (+0%)
2-Year Target $104.52 (+0%)
3-Year Target $104.73 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→20) PE COMPRESSION $103.87 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.0%) $142.45 (+37%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.0%) $141.78 (+36%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 11.0%) $120.52 (+16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.46
Bull Case $169.48 (+63%)
Analyst growth 49.2%, PE expands to 32.8
Base Case $154.07 (+48%)
Market implied 49.2%, PE stable at 29.8
Bear Case $70.22 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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