F5 (FFIV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$320.35
+3.04 (+0.96%)
▲
5d:
-2.84%
30d:
-32.73%
90d:
-22.99%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
0d
Protect FFIV Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (92%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$344.18 – $474.77
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.6x
CHEAP
vs 20.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$444.67
+40.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$307.99 / $372.00
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FFIV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $365.70 · last confirmed Nov 5, 2026
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$443.04
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$275.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FFIV is currently trading at $320.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $344.18 to $474.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FFIV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $307.99, while resistance sits at $372.00.
Market Sentiment: FFIV scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $444.67 (+40.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FFIV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $307.99, while resistance sits at $372.00.
Market Sentiment: FFIV scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $444.67 (+40.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$344.18 -
$474.77
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$344.18 -
$474.77
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$17.85
(5.6%)
Support Level
$307.99
Resistance Level
$372.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding FFIV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.1% below Wall St target ($444.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.55
Wall Street Target
$444.67
(+40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Profit Margin
21.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 20.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$303.67
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$290.61
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$278.11
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$316.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.3%)
$407.34
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 4.3%)
$360.03
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 4.3%)
$306.03
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.80
Bull Case
$493.62
(+56%)
Analyst growth 41.2%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case
$448.74
(+41%)
Market implied 41.2%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case
$216.07
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 20.0
Stabilization Target:
$361.54
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FFIV)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Cloudflare's Q3 2026 results surpassed expectations, leading to a 9.9% increase in share price. The company raised its revenue and earnings guidance for 2026.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FFIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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