Flowers Foods (FLO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLO - Flowers Foods, Inc.
$6.09
-0.02 (-0.33%)
▼
5d:
-5.58%
30d:
-15.06%
90d:
-21.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $6.27 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FLO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FLO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.44
Based on -2.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLO is currently trading at $6.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.55 to $7.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FLO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.90 (+29.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FLO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.90 (+29.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.55 -
$7.42
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.7% below Wall St target ($7.90)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.55 -
$7.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.01
Resistance Level
$7.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.52
Wall Street Target
$7.90
(+29.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 10.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.74
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$5.42
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$5.11
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$6.11
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -8.7%)
$10.95
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: -8.7%)
$4.63
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: -8.7%)
$3.93
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.26
Bull Case
$13.44
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case
$12.22
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.5
Bear Case
$4.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$7.29
(+19.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ryals Mcmullian
SELL
209000 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced FLO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FLO price and gamma walls.
