Flowers Foods (FLO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$6.25
-0.20 (-3.10%)
▼
5d:
-11.97%
30d:
+4.69%
90d:
-17.0%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
TODAY
Protect FLO Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (65%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$5.84 – $6.59
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.3x
FAIR
vs 9.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.30
+16.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.06 / $7.26
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FLO is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 11, 2026 at $6.25 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.31
Based on -4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLO is currently trading at $6.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.84 to $6.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.05, while resistance sits at $7.26. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.30 (+16.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.05, while resistance sits at $7.26. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.30 (+16.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.84 -
$6.59
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$5.84 -
$6.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$6.06
Resistance Level
$7.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding FLO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.30)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.30
Wall Street Target
$7.30
(+16.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.2%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.12
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$6.00
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$5.88
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$6.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -12.5%)
$9.73
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: -12.5%)
$4.56
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: -12.5%)
$3.87
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.27
Bull Case
$14.08
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case
$12.80
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.7
Bear Case
$4.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$6.66
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FLO)
Bullish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
3 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits is strong as traders anticipate earnings for $FLO with the highest short percentage in 6 years and significant call options at $7.50. No new news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
Upcoming earnings report
Highest short percentage in 6 years
Call options at $7.50
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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