FLOC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLOC - Flowco Holdings Inc.
$20.23
-0.22 (-1.08%)
▼
5d:
+5.86%
30d:
-2.46%
90d:
-20.29%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLOC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLOC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.53
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.54
17.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLOC is currently trading at $20.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.65 to $21.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLOC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.63, while resistance sits at $21.00.
Market Sentiment: FLOC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.22 (+54.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLOC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.63, while resistance sits at $21.00.
Market Sentiment: FLOC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.22 (+54.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$19.65 -
$21.01
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.3% below Wall St target ($31.22)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.65 -
$21.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.63
Resistance Level
$21.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.45
Wall Street Target
$31.22
(+54.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.08
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$17.99
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$16.96
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$20.30
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 16.8%)
$58.28
(+188%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 16.8%)
$32.20
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 16.8%)
$27.37
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.25
Bull Case
$30.67
(+50%)
Analyst growth 41.3%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$27.88
(+36%)
Market implied 41.3%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$13.42
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$24.20
(+19.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLOC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan B Fairbanks
SELL
1170000 shares
2026-03-26
Jonathan B Fairbanks
SELL
7800000 shares
2026-03-23
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