FLOC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLOC - Flowco Holdings Inc.
$20.89
0.07 (0.34%)
▲
5d:
+10.12%
30d:
-12.89%
90d:
-8.34%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLOC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLOC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.70
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.65
15.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLOC is currently trading at $20.89, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.53 to $23.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLOC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.56 (+51.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLOC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.56 (+51.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$20.53 -
$23.45
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.1% below Wall St target ($31.56)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.53 -
$23.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.67
Resistance Level
$26.45
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.71
Wall Street Target
$31.56
(+51.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 13.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.74
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$18.66
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$17.63
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$20.93
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.9%)
$60.49
(+190%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 15.9%)
$32.52
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 15.9%)
$27.64
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.24
Bull Case
$32.95
(+58%)
Analyst growth 43.9%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$29.96
(+43%)
Market implied 43.9%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$14.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$24.80
(+18.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLOC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan B Fairbanks
SELL
1170000 shares
2026-03-26
Jonathan B Fairbanks
SELL
7800000 shares
2026-03-23
Chad Roberts
SELL
54706 shares
2026-02-03
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