FMX
FOMENTO ECONOMICO MEXICANO, S.A.B. DE C.V.
Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters
FMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$130.72
-1.81 (-1.37%)
▼
5d:
+2.09%
30d:
+8.32%
90d:
+10.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
27/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$120.62 – $130.01
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
25.5x
FAIR
vs 23.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$135.93
+4.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$123.81 / $133.98
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.21
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FMX is currently trading at $130.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.62 to $130.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.5) compared to its historical average (23.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $133.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FMX scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $133.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FMX scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$120.62 -
$130.01
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$120.62 -
$130.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$123.81
Resistance Level
$133.98
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($135.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.54
Wall Street Target
$135.93
(+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
189.1%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
25.5 vs 23.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$135.30
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$140.03
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$144.93
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$131.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.5, Growth: -9.5%)
$96.94
(+-26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -9.5%)
$75.37
(-42%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -9.5%)
$64.06
(-51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.45
Bull Case
$72.89
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$66.27
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$90.12
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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