Farmland Partners (FPI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FPI - Farmland Partners Inc.
$9.84
-0.20 (-1.99%)
▼
5d:
-6.73%
30d:
-9.89%
90d:
+2.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.97
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FPI is currently trading at $9.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.33 to $11.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 41.0) compared to its historical average (52.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.33 -
$11.09
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.50)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.33 -
$11.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.82
Resistance Level
$10.77
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.00
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.2%
Profit Margin
50.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.0 vs 52.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.09
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$8.40
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$7.76
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→52)
$9.85
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.0, Growth: 2.1%)
$10.48
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.1%)
$5.08
(-48%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 2.1%)
$4.32
(-56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.51
Bull Case
$5.52
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$5.02
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$6.83
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.0 to 52.0
Stabilization Target:
$12.48
(+26.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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