Farmland Partners (FPI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.93
+0.13 (+1.42%)
▲
5d:
-0.39%
30d:
-16.04%
90d:
-8.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (88%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.98 – $10.61
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
40.0x
CHEAP
vs 51.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.50
+19.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.28 / $10.27
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.71
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FPI is currently trading at $8.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.98 to $10.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 40.0) compared to its historical average (51.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.28, while resistance sits at $10.27.
Market Sentiment: FPI scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.50 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.28, while resistance sits at $10.27.
Market Sentiment: FPI scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.50 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.98 -
$10.61
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.98 -
$10.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$8.28
Resistance Level
$10.27
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.00
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.2%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
40.0 vs 51.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.10
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$7.45
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$6.85
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→51)
$8.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.0, Growth: 10.0%)
$11.71
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.0%)
$5.82
(-34%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.0%)
$4.94
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (59x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 59.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.15
Bull Case
$14.28
(+62%)
Analyst growth 46.7%, PE expands to 64.9
Base Case
$12.98
(+48%)
Market implied 46.7%, PE stable at 59.0
Bear Case
$6.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 50.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 40.0 to 51.4
Stabilization Target:
$11.31
(+28.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FPI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on $FPI ahead of earnings report as the REIT has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates. A Yahoo Finance news article discusses four specialty REITs, including $FPI, and highlights the resilience of their rent sources from casinos, forests, and farms.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong earnings track record
Resilient rent sources
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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