FPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FPI - Farmland Partners Inc.
$10.16
0.04 (0.40%)
▲
5d:
+2.42%
30d:
+6.28%
90d:
-2.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.97
Based on -3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FPI is currently trading at $10.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.55 to $9.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 42.3) compared to its historical average (53.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.55 -
$9.93
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.55 -
$9.93
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.54
Resistance Level
$10.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.33
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.2%
Profit Margin
50.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
42.3 vs 53.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.38
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$8.66
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$7.99
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→54)
$10.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.3, Growth: -11.1%)
$7.41
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -11.1%)
$3.51
(-65%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -11.1%)
$2.98
(-71%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case
$5.57
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$5.06
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$6.88
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 42.3 to 53.8
Stabilization Target:
$12.91
(+27.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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