Farmland Partners (FPI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FPI - Farmland Partners Inc.
$10.70
0.06 (0.56%)
▲
5d:
+1.61%
30d:
+9.97%
90d:
+8.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.97
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FPI is currently trading at $10.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.84 to $10.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 44.6) compared to its historical average (53.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FPI scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FPI scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.84 -
$10.53
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.84 -
$10.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.13
Resistance Level
$10.93
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.58
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(-1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.2%
Profit Margin
50.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.6 vs 53.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.09
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$9.51
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$8.97
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→53)
$10.69
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.6, Growth: 2.1%)
$11.40
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.1%)
$5.16
(-52%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 2.1%)
$4.38
(-59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.50
Bull Case
$5.85
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$5.32
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$7.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.6 to 53.1
Stabilization Target:
$12.74
(+19.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 4:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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