FPI Farmland Partners Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS Best REITs Stocks 2026 →

Farmland Partners (FPI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$8.93
+0.13 (+1.42%) ▲
5d: -0.39% 30d: -16.04% 90d: -8.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (88%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.98 – $10.61
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
40.0x CHEAP
vs 51.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.50
+19.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.28 / $10.27
Trend: Sideways
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% decline. Moderate conviction.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.71
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.79
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FPI is currently trading at $8.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.98 to $10.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 40.0) compared to its historical average (51.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.28, while resistance sits at $10.27.

Market Sentiment: FPI scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.50 (+19.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $8.98 - $10.61
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 88.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $8.98 - $10.61
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $8.28
Resistance Level $10.27
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.50)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 40.00
Wall Street Target $10.50 (+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -50.2%
Profit Margin 19.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 40.0 vs 51.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.10 (-8%)
2-Year Target $7.45 (-15%)
3-Year Target $6.85 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 40→51) $8.81 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 40.0, Growth: 10.0%) $11.71 (+33%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.0%) $5.82 (-34%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.0%) $4.94 (-44%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (59x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 59.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.15
Bull Case $14.28 (+62%)
Analyst growth 46.7%, PE expands to 64.9
Base Case $12.98 (+48%)
Market implied 46.7%, PE stable at 59.0
Bear Case $6.02 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 50.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 40.0 to 51.4
Stabilization Target: $11.31 (+28.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +28.5%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FPI)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment on $FPI ahead of earnings report as the REIT has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates. A Yahoo Finance news article discusses four specialty REITs, including $FPI, and highlights the resilience of their rent sources from casinos, forests, and farms.
Key Retail Themes: Strong earnings track record Resilient rent sources
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:47 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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