Farmland Partners (FPI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FPI - Farmland Partners Inc.
$11.49
0.14 (1.23%)
▲
5d:
+7.38%
30d:
+8.91%
90d:
+18.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.97
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FPI is currently trading at $11.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.41 to $10.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 47.9) is in line with its historical norms (52.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FPI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.41 -
$10.95
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($10.50)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.41 -
$10.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.54
Resistance Level
$11.54
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
47.88
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(-8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.2%
Profit Margin
50.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
47.9 vs 52.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.13
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.79
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$10.45
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 48→53)
$11.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 47.9, Growth: 2.1%)
$12.24
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.1%)
$5.22
(-55%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 2.1%)
$4.43
(-61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.51
Bull Case
$6.24
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$5.67
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$7.72
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 47.9 to 52.6
Stabilization Target:
$12.62
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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