Fermi (FRMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FRMI - Fermi Inc. Common Stock

Real Estate Investment Trusts
$2.86
-0.08 (-2.72%) ▼
5d: -9.49%
30d: -44.36%
90d: -54.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026 20d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 20, 2026 at $2.98 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FRMI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.86
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.26
32.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FRMI is currently trading at $2.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.37 to $4.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FRMI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.62 (+481.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $3.37 - $4.79
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 481.3% below Wall St target ($16.62)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.37 - $4.79
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.80
Resistance Level $4.07
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.86
Wall Street Target $16.63 (+481.3%)
Valuation Discount vs History -16.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.9 vs 22.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -16.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.57 (-10%)
2-Year Target $2.32 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.08 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→22) $3.57 (+25%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 22.0
Stabilization Target: $4.89 (+71.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +71.1%
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced FRMI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FRMI price and gamma walls.

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