FRSH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRSH - Freshworks Inc. Class A Common Stock
$9.19
0.26 (2.91%)
▲
5d:
-3.36%
30d:
+1.32%
90d:
+12.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FRSH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FRSH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.94
29.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRSH is currently trading at $9.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.93 to $9.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRSH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.75 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRSH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.75 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.93 -
$9.72
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($11.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.93 -
$9.72
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.93
Resistance Level
$10.69
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.50
Wall Street Target
$11.75
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Profit Margin
20.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.72
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$8.28
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$7.85
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$9.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.0%)
$36.52
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 28.0%)
$19.29
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 28.0%)
$16.39
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.61
Bull Case
$12.76
(+43%)
Analyst growth 31.0%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$11.60
(+30%)
Market implied 31.0%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$6.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$10.71
(+16.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRSH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mika Yamamoto
SELL
32577 shares
2026-03-04
Philippa Lawrence
SELL
765 shares
2026-01-06
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