FSLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSLY - Fastly, Inc.
$16.66
-0.51 (-2.97%)
▼
5d:
-10.19%
30d:
+1.59%
90d:
-42.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FSLY is down 10.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FSLY is down 10.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.80
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSLY is currently trading at $16.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.68 to $19.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 42.2) compared to its historical average (64.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.11 (+44.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.11 (+44.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.68 -
$19.23
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FSLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.7% below Wall St target ($24.11)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.68 -
$19.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.60
Resistance Level
$22.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.23
Wall Street Target
$24.11
(+44.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
-15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
42.2 vs 64.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.99
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.49
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.15
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→65)
$18.64
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.2, Growth: 21.4%)
$29.82
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.4%)
$15.38
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 21.4%)
$13.07
(-22%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 42.2 to 64.8
Stabilization Target:
$25.56
(+53.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles Lacey Compton III
SELL
7059 shares
2026-04-17
Charles Lacey Compton III
SELL
22474 shares
2026-04-16
Scott R Lovett
SELL
41682 shares
2026-03-18
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Advanced FSLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FSLY price and gamma walls.
