FSLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSLY - Fastly, Inc.
$20.03
0.44 (2.25%)
▲
5d:
+9.75%
30d:
+7.4%
90d:
-13.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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2 traders called FSLY this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSLY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSLY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.80
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSLY is currently trading at $20.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.24 to $19.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 50.8) compared to its historical average (63.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.60, while resistance sits at $22.05.
Market Sentiment: FSLY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.11 (+20.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.60, while resistance sits at $22.05.
Market Sentiment: FSLY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.11 (+20.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.24 -
$19.41
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($24.11)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.24 -
$19.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.60
Resistance Level
$22.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
50.77
Wall Street Target
$24.11
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
-15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
50.8 vs 63.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.63
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$17.32
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$16.11
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 51→63)
$20.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 50.8, Growth: 21.4%)
$35.86
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.4%)
$15.38
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 21.4%)
$13.07
(-35%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 50.8 to 63.2
Stabilization Target:
$24.93
(+24.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles Lacey Compton III
SELL
7059 shares
2026-04-17
Charles Lacey Compton III
SELL
22474 shares
2026-04-16
Scott R Lovett
SELL
41682 shares
2026-03-18
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FSLY price and gamma walls.
