Is FSLY stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, FSLY is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FSLY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of FSLY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for FSLY to be between $21.44 and $26.57. The current price is $27.42.

What is the analyst price target for FSLY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for FSLY is $27.00. This implies a potential upside of -1.5% from current levels.

Fastly (FSLY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FSLY - Fastly, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$27.42

3.56 (14.92%) ▲

5d: +10.3%

30d: +20.74%

90d: +59.7%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your FSLY Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 18, 2026 at $23.86 · last confirmed Sep 21, 2026

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FSLY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 11.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$21.30

Based on 7.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$13.23

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FSLY is currently trading at $27.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.44 to $26.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 46.8) compared to its historical average (59.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 14.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: FSLY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $21.44 - $26.57

Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 28.6%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+14.9%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($27.00)
WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $21.44 - $26.57

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.92

Resistance Level $28.07

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 46.77

Wall Street Target $27.00 (-1.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.3%

Profit Margin -11.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -7.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 46.8 vs 59.2 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -7.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $25.36 (-8%)

2-Year Target $23.46 (-14%)

3-Year Target $21.70 (-21%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 47→59) $27.47 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 46.8, Growth: 11.6%) $38.12 (+39%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.6%) $16.51 (-40%)

Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 11.6%) $14.03 (-49%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 46.8 to 59.2

Stabilization Target: $34.71 (+26.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +26.6%

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Last updated: September 21, 2026 11:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:04 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Charles Lacey Compton III SELL 7059 shares 2026-04-17

Charles Lacey Compton III SELL 22474 shares 2026-04-16

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