Fastly (FSLY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$16.24
+0.26 (+1.63%)
▲
5d:
-22.92%
30d:
-38.55%
90d:
-43.08%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$19.67 – $27.01
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.6x
CHEAP
vs 56.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$24.91
+53.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$15.20 / $28.14
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: FSLY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.78
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.25
5.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSLY is currently trading at $16.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.67 to $27.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (56.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 26.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.20, while resistance sits at $28.14.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.91 (+53.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.20, while resistance sits at $28.14.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.91 (+53.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.67 -
$27.01
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$19.67 -
$27.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$15.20
Resistance Level
$28.14
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding FSLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.4% below Wall St target ($24.91)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-22.9%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.63
Wall Street Target
$24.91
(+53.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.2%
Profit Margin
-8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-26.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 56.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-26.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.62
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.15
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.84
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→56)
$29.30
(+80%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 14.4%)
$24.29
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.4%)
$21.31
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 14.4%)
$18.12
(+12%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 56.0
Stabilization Target:
$40.19
(+147.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+147.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FSLY)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits users express bullish sentiment towards $FSLY, predicting a potential price increase to $3000. No recent news articles were available for analysis.
Key Retail Themes:
Price Prediction
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 10:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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