Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEL - Genesis Energy, L.P.
$13.90
-0.13 (-0.93%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.29%
30d:
-5.18%
90d:
-7.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 40.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 40.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEL is currently trading at $13.90, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.89 to $14.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 173.8) compared to its historical average (62.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 40.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $13.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+29.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $13.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+29.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.89 -
$14.85
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.5% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 40.9% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.89 -
$14.85
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.75
Resistance Level
$14.61
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
173.75
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+29.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.6%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+40.9% premium
PE vs Historical
173.8 vs 62.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+40.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.59
(+41%)
2-Year Target
$27.60
(+99%)
3-Year Target
$38.88
(+180%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 174â62)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.08 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.38
Bull Case
$16.78
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$13.90
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$10.63
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 5:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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