GEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEL - Genesis Energy, L.P.
$16.20
0.16 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
+2.4%
30d:
+7.28%
90d:
-1.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GEL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GEL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEL is currently trading at $16.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.78 to $15.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 202.5) compared to its historical average (32.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 84.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GEL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.33 (+13.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GEL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.33 (+13.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.78 -
$15.79
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
25.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 84.9% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.78 -
$15.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.14
Resistance Level
$16.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
202.50
Wall Street Target
$18.33
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.6%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+84.9% premium
PE vs Historical
202.5 vs 32.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+84.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.30
(+50%)
2-Year Target
$36.45
(+125%)
3-Year Target
$54.68
(+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 203→32)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.64
(-47%)
Significant PE compression expected
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.08 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.61
Bull Case
$19.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$16.20
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$12.39
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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