GEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEL - Genesis Energy, L.P.
$14.66
0.10 (0.69%)
▲
5d:
+3.24%
30d:
-5.72%
90d:
-17.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
Get Alerted When GEL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GEL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GEL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEL is currently trading at $14.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.07 to $15.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 48.9) compared to its historical average (24.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 25.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GEL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+31.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GEL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+31.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.07 -
$15.17
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.9% below Wall St target ($19.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 25.9% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.07 -
$15.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.92
Resistance Level
$15.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
48.87
Wall Street Target
$19.33
(+31.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.6%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+25.9% premium
PE vs Historical
48.9 vs 24.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+25.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.46
(+26%)
2-Year Target
$23.24
(+59%)
3-Year Target
$29.26
(+100%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 49→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.67
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 48.9, Growth: 400.0%)
$49.48
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 400.0%)
$22.05
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 400.0%)
$18.74
(+28%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Midstream by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LNG
Cheniere Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$303 | 60 HOLD |
|
TRGP
Targa Resources Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$288 | 61 BUY |
|
ET
Energy Transfer LP |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$24 | 61 BUY |
|
VNOM
Viper Energy Ut |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$57 | 62 BUY |
|
TRP
TC Energy Corp |
BUY
23 analysts |
$61 | 55 HOLD |
