GEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEL - Genesis Energy, L.P.
$14.26
0.05 (0.35%)
▲
5d:
-1.25%
30d:
-13.05%
90d:
-19.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GEL trades at premium valuation expecting 28.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: GEL trades at premium valuation expecting 28.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEL is currently trading at $14.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.89 to $16.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 47.5) compared to its historical average (22.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 28.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GEL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+35.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GEL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+35.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.89 -
$16.10
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.6% below Wall St target ($19.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 28.7% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.89 -
$16.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.92
Resistance Level
$15.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
47.53
Wall Street Target
$19.33
(+35.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.6%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+28.7% premium
PE vs Historical
47.5 vs 22.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+28.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.35
(+29%)
2-Year Target
$23.62
(+66%)
3-Year Target
$30.40
(+113%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 48→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 47.5, Growth: 400.0%)
$48.13
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 400.0%)
$22.05
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 400.0%)
$18.74
(+31%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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