GEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEL - Genesis Energy, L.P.
$15.15
-0.16 (-1.05%)
▼
5d:
+2.23%
30d:
+6.69%
90d:
-11.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GEL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 24.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GEL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 24.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEL is currently trading at $15.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.29 to $15.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 51.0) compared to its historical average (26.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 24.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GEL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.67 (+21.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GEL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.67 (+21.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.29 -
$15.06
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($18.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 24.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.29 -
$15.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.57
Resistance Level
$15.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
51.03
Wall Street Target
$18.67
(+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.6%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+24.2% premium
PE vs Historical
51.0 vs 26.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+24.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.02
(+24%)
2-Year Target
$23.62
(+54%)
3-Year Target
$29.33
(+92%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 51→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 51.0, Growth: 400.0%)
$51.67
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 400.0%)
$20.99
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 400.0%)
$17.84
(+17%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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