Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEL - Genesis Energy, L.P.
$15.59
-0.27 (-1.70%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.65%
30d:
-1.76%
90d:
-0.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 63.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 63.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEL is currently trading at $15.59, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.44 to $16.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 194.9) compared to its historical average (44.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 63.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.33 (+17.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.33 (+17.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$15.44 -
$16.29
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 63.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.44 -
$16.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.45
Resistance Level
$16.67
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
194.88
Wall Street Target
$18.33
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.6%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+63.8% premium
PE vs Historical
194.9 vs 44.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+63.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.38
(+50%)
2-Year Target
$35.08
(+125%)
3-Year Target
$52.62
(+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 195â44)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.96
(-23%)
Significant PE compression expected
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.08 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.55
Bull Case
$18.82
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$15.59
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$11.93
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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