Gencor Industries (GENC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GENC - Gencor Industries, Inc.
$17.93
-0.14 (-0.77%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.1%
30d:
-0.66%
90d:
+20.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 14, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When GENC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GENC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GENC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.09
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GENC is currently trading at $17.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.36 to $19.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GENC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GENC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GENC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GENC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.36 -
$19.55
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.36 -
$19.55
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.66
Resistance Level
$19.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.41
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.5%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.23
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$18.54
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$18.86
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -3.7%)
$18.53
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: -3.7%)
$15.99
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: -3.7%)
$13.59
(-24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.02
Bull Case
$20.07
(+12%)
Analyst growth 1.0%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$18.25
(+2%)
Market implied 1.0%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$12.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GENC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CAT
Caterpillar Inc |
BUY
28 analysts |
$976 | 64 BUY |
|
DE
Deere & Company |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$685 | 32 SELL |
|
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V. |
BUY
19 analysts |
$14 | 30 SELL |
|
OSK
Oshkosh Corporation |
BUY
16 analysts |
$169 | 49 HOLD |
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$143 | 59 HOLD |
