Global Partners LP (GLP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLP - Global Partners LP
$48.53
-0.39 (-0.80%)
▼
5d:
-1.12%
30d:
+0.73%
90d:
+0.31%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GLP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GLP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.25
Based on -16.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLP is currently trading at $48.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.17 to $50.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 238.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$47.17 -
$50.04
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
17th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GLP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 17th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($45.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.17 -
$50.04
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.80
(3.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.75
Resistance Level
$50.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.74
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(-7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
238.2%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.98
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$45.47
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$44.02
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$48.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -36.7%)
$55.16
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: -36.7%)
$35.38
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: -36.7%)
$30.07
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.90
Bull Case
$41.84
(-14%)
Analyst growth -22.2%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$38.04
(-22%)
Market implied -22.2%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$33.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$53.34
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GLP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GLP price and gamma walls.
