GENERAC (GNRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNRC - GENERAC HOLDINGS INC
$203.14
8.54 (4.39%)
â˛
5d:
+2.56%
30d:
-1.47%
90d:
-3.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GNRC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GNRC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$503.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$312.67
35.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNRC is currently trading at $203.14, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $188.39 to $217.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 92.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $186.08, while resistance sits at $228.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: GNRC scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $287.78 (+41.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $186.08, while resistance sits at $228.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: GNRC scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $287.78 (+41.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$188.39 -
$217.94
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GNRC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 41.7% below Wall St target ($287.78)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$188.39 -
$217.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$186.08
Resistance Level
$228.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.63
Wall Street Target
$287.78
(+41.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
92.0%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 19.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$187.30
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$172.69
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$159.22
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â20)
$202.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 34.2%)
$624.37
(+207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 34.2%)
$491.48
(+142%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 34.2%)
$417.76
(+106%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.35
Bull Case
$428.12
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.2
Base Case
$389.20
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 44.7
Bear Case
$132.33
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$258.59
(+27.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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