GNRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNRC - GENERAC HOLDINGS INC
$226.95
-6.99 (-2.99%)
▼
5d:
-11.97%
30d:
-5.09%
90d:
+9.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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1 traders called GNRC this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GNRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GNRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$466.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$289.43
21.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNRC is currently trading at $226.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $255.95 to $286.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 69.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $225.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GNRC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $290.27 (+27.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $225.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GNRC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $290.27 (+27.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$255.95 -
$286.10
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GNRC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($290.27)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-12.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$255.95 -
$286.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$225.95
Resistance Level
$295.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.15
Wall Street Target
$290.27
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.9%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 21.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$222.86
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$218.85
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$214.91
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$227.14
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.9%)
$477.38
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.9%)
$441.72
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 24.9%)
$375.47
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 27.55 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.49
Bull Case
$282.48
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.9
Base Case
$233.94
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case
$178.96
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 21.3
Stabilization Target:
$239.86
(+5.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
York A Ragen
SELL
24362 shares
2026-02-25
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