GNRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNRC - GENERAC HOLDINGS INC
$278.68
-16.86 (-5.70%)
▼
5d:
+3.18%
30d:
+12.47%
90d:
+38.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GNRC trades at premium valuation expecting 8.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: GNRC trades at premium valuation expecting 8.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$440.38
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$273.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNRC is currently trading at $278.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $253.94 to $280.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.6) compared to its historical average (21.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $237.00, while resistance sits at $296.03. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: GNRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $237.00, while resistance sits at $296.03. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: GNRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$253.94 -
$280.87
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GNRC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($281.60)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$253.94 -
$280.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$237.00
Resistance Level
$296.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.59
Wall Street Target
$281.60
(-4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.9%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
26.6 vs 21.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$319.77
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$346.00
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$374.37
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$295.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.6, Growth: 23.5%)
$556.11
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.5%)
$455.47
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 23.5%)
$387.15
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 32.47 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.10
Bull Case
$356.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.1
Base Case
$295.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$226.09
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
York A Ragen
SELL
24362 shares
2026-02-25
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