GNRC GENERAC HOLDINGS INC MOTORS & GENERATORS

GENERAC (GNRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$194.00
+12.22 (+6.72%) ▲
5d: +2.47% 30d: -9.47% 90d: -10.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$186.23 – $215.19
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.9x CHEAP
vs 19.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$289.22
+49.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$168.79 / $212.97
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GNRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $173.15 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026

Strength: 5.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$531.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$330.32
41.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GNRC is currently trading at $194.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.23 to $215.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $168.79, while resistance sits at $212.97. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $289.22 (+49.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $186.23 - $215.19
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.3%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $186.23 - $215.19
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $168.79
Resistance Level $212.97
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 49.1% below Wall St target ($289.22)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.92
Wall Street Target $289.22 (+49.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 63.4%
Profit Margin 6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.9 vs 19.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $174.60 (-10%)
2-Year Target $157.14 (-19%)
3-Year Target $141.43 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→20) $199.15 (+3%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 41.1%) $777.42 (+301%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 41.1%) $544.86 (+181%)
Bear: (PE: 11.8, Growth: 41.1%) $463.14 (+139%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.07
Bull Case $399.92 (+106%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.4
Base Case $363.56 (+87%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.9
Bear Case $123.61 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 19.6
Stabilization Target: $273.18 (+40.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +40.8%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GNRC)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits messages indicate bullish sentiment towards $GNRC, with traders expressing optimism about the company's potential due to global concerns over electrical grid hacks and refrigeration. No recent news articles were available for analysis.
Key Retail Themes: geopolitical risks demand for generator solutions
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive GNRC Research Pages
GNRC Technical Chart GNRC Price Prediction GNRC Intrinsic Value DCF GNRC Earnings Date Why is GNRC Moving Today? GNRC Investment Advisor GNRC Fair Price Analyzer GNRC Options Chain GNRC Options Advisor GNRC Options Analysis GNRC Competitors
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