GNW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNW - Genworth Financial, Inc.
$8.35
-0.17 (-2.00%)
▼
5d:
-5.54%
30d:
-5.86%
90d:
-2.45%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GNW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GNW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.85
Based on -4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNW is currently trading at $8.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.69 to $9.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+31.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+31.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.69 -
$9.21
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.7% below Wall St target ($11.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with -0.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.69 -
$9.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.48
Resistance Level
$9.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.19
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(+31.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.74
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$9.15
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$9.58
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: -12.2%)
$6.09
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: -12.2%)
$5.75
(-31%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: -12.2%)
$4.89
(-42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case
$6.73
(-22%)
Analyst growth -30.8%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$6.12
(-29%)
Market implied -30.8%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$6.01
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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