GNW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNW - Genworth Financial, Inc.
$9.28
0.11 (1.20%)
▲
5d:
+3.57%
30d:
+2.32%
90d:
+14.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.96
Based on -4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNW is currently trading at $9.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.60 to $9.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.5) compared to its historical average (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.60 -
$9.15
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.3% growth with -0.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.60 -
$9.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.27
Resistance Level
$9.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.47
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.3% premium
PE vs Historical
25.5 vs 20.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.84
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$10.56
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$11.33
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.5, Growth: -12.2%)
$6.68
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -12.2%)
$5.72
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -12.2%)
$4.86
(-47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case
$6.81
(-26%)
Analyst growth -30.8%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$6.19
(-33%)
Market implied -30.8%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$6.08
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 12:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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