What is the fair value of MET stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MET to be between $95.16 and $97.78. The current price is $97.14.

What is the analyst price target for MET?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MET is $105.06. This implies a potential upside of 8.2% from current levels.

MetLife (MET) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MET - MetLife, Inc.

LIFE INSURANCE

$97.14

0.36 (0.37%) ▲

5d: -2.11%

30d: +0.5%

90d: +10.92%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $97.62 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 3.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: MET is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$118.72

Based on 7.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$73.72

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MET is currently trading at $97.14, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.16 to $97.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MET is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $99.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $95.16 - $97.78

Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($105.06)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.2% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $95.16 - $97.78

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $93.91

Resistance Level $99.25

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.90

Wall Street Target $105.06 (+8.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.8%

Profit Margin 4.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +5.2% premium

PE vs Historical 8.9 vs 7.6 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +5.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $102.19 (+5%)

2-Year Target $107.51 (+11%)

3-Year Target $113.10 (+16%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→8) PE COMPRESSION $96.63 (-1%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.9%) $300.33 (+209%)

Base: (SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 10.9%) $132.45 (+36%)

Bear: (PE: 7.6, Growth: 10.9%) $112.58 (+16%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 18.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.28

Bull Case $212.92 (+119%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.2

Base Case $193.56 (+99%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.3

Bear Case $65.81 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23

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Advanced MET Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MET price and gamma walls.

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