Globe Life (GL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GL - Globe Life Inc.
$154.92
-13.49 (-8.01%)
▼
5d:
-8.21%
30d:
-7.41%
90d:
-11.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.48
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GL is currently trading at $154.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $164.50 to $171.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $161.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GL scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $193.18 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $161.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GL scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $193.18 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$164.50 -
$171.10
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($193.18)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$164.50 -
$171.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$161.52
Resistance Level
$171.03
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.20
Wall Street Target
$193.18
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Profit Margin
19.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.61
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$174.87
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$178.19
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$167.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.0%)
$379.62
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 5.0%)
$195.01
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 5.0%)
$165.76
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.06
Bull Case
$204.51
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.6%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$185.92
(+10%)
Market implied 9.6%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$115.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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