Globe Life (GL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$160.11
-1.69 (-1.04%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.57%
30d:
-4.36%
90d:
-11.54%
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Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$158.66 â $167.28
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.8x
FAIR
vs 9.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$185.18
+15.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$156.82 / $164.89
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$201.31
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GL is currently trading at $160.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $158.66 to $167.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $156.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $185.18 (+15.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $156.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $185.18 (+15.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$158.66 -
$167.28
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$158.66 -
$167.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$5.31
(3.3%)
Support Level
$156.82
Resistance Level
$164.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding GL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($185.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 5.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.78
Wall Street Target
$185.18
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.3%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$160.75
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$161.39
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$162.04
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$160.79
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$384.66
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 5.7%)
$189.34
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 5.7%)
$160.94
(+1%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.94
Bull Case
$195.12
(+22%)
Analyst growth 9.6%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$177.38
(+11%)
Market implied 9.6%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$110.02
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GL)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Analysts forecast $GL Q2 earnings of $3.67/share, with revenues of $1.59 billion, representing YOY increases of 12.2% and 6%, respectively. Key metrics include Revenue- Total premium at $1.30 billion (+6.5%), Net investment income at $292.12 million (+3.5%), and Life Underwriting Margin- Liberty National at $37.29 million (+11.5%).
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings expectations
Key Metrics Analysis
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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