Gates Industrial (GTES) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$27.65
1.15 (4.34%)
▲
5d:
+2.94%
30d:
+11.0%
90d:
+1.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTES shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTES shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.45
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $27.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.38 to $26.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.33 (+20.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.33 (+20.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.38 -
$26.59
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
34.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($33.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.38 -
$26.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.43
Resistance Level
$27.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.30
Wall Street Target
$33.33
(+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
205.8%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.93
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$28.21
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$28.49
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 15.3%)
$60.47
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$42.40
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 15.3%)
$36.04
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$39.41
(+43%)
Analyst growth 35.2%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$35.82
(+30%)
Market implied 35.2%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$18.02
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 6:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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