GTES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$26.24
-0.10 (-0.38%)
▼
5d:
-3.35%
30d:
+3.59%
90d:
+2.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GTES shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GTES shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.35
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $26.24, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.04 to $28.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.81, while resistance sits at $27.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.45 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.81, while resistance sits at $27.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.45 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$26.04 -
$28.00
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.45)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 0.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.04 -
$28.00
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.81
Resistance Level
$27.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.03
Wall Street Target
$31.45
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.34
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$26.45
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$26.56
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.5%)
$61.12
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 14.5%)
$39.37
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 14.5%)
$33.46
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$57.05
(+117%)
Analyst growth 96.9%, PE expands to 30.5
Base Case
$51.86
(+98%)
Market implied 96.9%, PE stable at 27.7
Bear Case
$17.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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