GTES
Gates Industrial Corporation plc
GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
Gates Industrial (GTES) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$25.56
+0.47 (+1.87%)
▲
5d:
+4.5%
30d:
-1.54%
90d:
-7.63%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$24.58 – $26.85
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.2x
FAIR
vs 13.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$32.75
+28.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$23.00 / $26.34
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GTES shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.43
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.73
0.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $25.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.58 to $26.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.00, while resistance sits at $26.34.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.75 (+28.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.00, while resistance sits at $26.34.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.75 (+28.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$24.58 -
$26.85
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$24.58 -
$26.85
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$23.00
Resistance Level
$26.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.1% below Wall St target ($32.75)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.18
Wall Street Target
$32.75
(+28.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.15
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$24.75
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$24.35
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$25.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.4%)
$57.59
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 14.4%)
$38.22
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 14.4%)
$32.49
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.44
Bull Case
$37.16
(+45%)
Analyst growth 34.7%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$33.78
(+32%)
Market implied 34.7%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$17.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$26.76
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GTES)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
GTES reported Q3 earnings before the open, beating EPS estimates by 6.8% and reporting revenue in line with expectations.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
beating earnings estimates
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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