Gates Industrial (GTES) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$25.10
-1.61 (-6.03%)
▼
5d:
-4.71%
30d:
-4.78%
90d:
-6.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTES shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTES shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.18
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.57
1.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $25.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.58 to $27.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 205.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.28, while resistance sits at $27.06. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.25 (+32.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.28, while resistance sits at $27.06. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.25 (+32.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$25.58 -
$27.07
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($33.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.58 -
$27.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.28
Resistance Level
$27.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.09
Wall Street Target
$33.25
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
205.8%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.62
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$24.16
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$23.70
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$25.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.3%)
$56.92
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 14.3%)
$37.51
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 14.3%)
$31.89
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.44
Bull Case
$39.13
(+56%)
Analyst growth 33.2%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$35.57
(+42%)
Market implied 33.2%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$18.16
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$26.65
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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