Gates Industrial (GTES) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$26.04
0.41 (1.60%)
▲
5d:
+3.37%
30d:
-6.43%
90d:
-2.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GTES shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GTES shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.41
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.33
1.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $26.04, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.48 to $28.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 205.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.08 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.08 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$25.48 -
$28.29
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.0% below Wall St target ($33.08)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.48 -
$28.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.27
Resistance Level
$26.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.48
Wall Street Target
$33.08
(+27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
205.8%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.78
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$25.52
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$25.27
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$26.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.3%)
$59.66
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 15.3%)
$39.88
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 15.3%)
$33.90
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$39.75
(+53%)
Analyst growth 41.0%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$36.13
(+39%)
Market implied 41.0%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$17.43
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$26.85
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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