GTES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$27.25
-1.25 (-4.39%)
▼
5d:
-0.37%
30d:
+13.21%
90d:
+19.62%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTES shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTES shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.77
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $27.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.66 to $27.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTES has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.08 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTES has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.08 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$24.66 -
$27.28
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 0.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.66 -
$27.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.81
Resistance Level
$27.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.61
Wall Street Target
$31.08
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.77
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$28.30
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$28.83
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.3%)
$60.64
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 14.3%)
$40.67
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 14.3%)
$34.57
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$61.56
(+126%)
Analyst growth 96.4%, PE expands to 33.0
Base Case
$55.96
(+105%)
Market implied 96.4%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case
$19.38
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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