GTES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$26.03
-0.48 (-1.81%)
▼
5d:
+1.24%
30d:
+5.64%
90d:
-0.8%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTES shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTES shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.48
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $26.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.41 to $26.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GTES has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.08 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GTES has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.08 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.41 -
$26.02
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 0.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.41 -
$26.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.45
Resistance Level
$26.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.95
Wall Street Target
$31.08
(+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.16
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$26.29
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$26.42
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.3%)
$61.00
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 14.3%)
$38.85
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 14.3%)
$33.02
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$55.54
(+118%)
Analyst growth 96.4%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$50.49
(+98%)
Market implied 96.4%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$17.48
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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