GTES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$29.38
1.40 (5.00%)
▲
5d:
+10.66%
30d:
+10.08%
90d:
+22.11%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When GTES Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GTES is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GTES is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.47
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $29.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.87 to $27.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.87 -
$27.97
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.0% above its trading range)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.91)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.87 -
$27.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.70
Resistance Level
$29.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.52
Wall Street Target
$31.91
(+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
205.8%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.50
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$31.66
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$32.86
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.2%)
$59.96
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 15.2%)
$44.90
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 15.2%)
$38.16
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$41.32
(+41%)
Analyst growth 34.2%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$37.56
(+28%)
Market implied 34.2%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$19.03
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Top Rated Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Industrial Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
GEV
GE Vernova LLC |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$1231 | 56 HOLD |
|
EMR
Emerson Electric Company |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$163 | 55 HOLD |
|
ETN
Eaton Corporation PLC |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$458 | 48 HOLD |
|
PH
Parker-Hannifin Corporat… |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$1040 | 54 HOLD |
|
ROK
Rockwell Automation Inc |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$475 | 58 HOLD |
