GTES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$25.90
0.01 (0.04%)
▲
5d:
-6.7%
30d:
-4.15%
90d:
+7.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTES shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTES shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.65
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.48
2.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $25.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.05 to $28.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 205.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.45 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.45 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.05 -
$28.42
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($33.45)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.05 -
$28.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.75
Resistance Level
$29.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.39
Wall Street Target
$33.45
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
205.8%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.54
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$25.18
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$24.83
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$25.76
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.5%)
$59.82
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 15.5%)
$39.92
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 15.5%)
$33.93
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.39
Bull Case
$39.62
(+53%)
Analyst growth 39.1%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$36.02
(+39%)
Market implied 39.1%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$17.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$26.88
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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