GWRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GWRE - GUIDEWIRE SOFTWARE, INC.
$189.19
7.40 (4.07%)
▲
5d:
+7.75%
30d:
+44.0%
90d:
+39.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
9d
Get Alerted When GWRE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GWRE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GWRE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$171.87
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$106.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GWRE is currently trading at $189.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $143.59 to $175.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 46.2) compared to its historical average (40.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GWRE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $189.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: GWRE scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GWRE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $189.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: GWRE scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$143.59 -
$175.49
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GWRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($202.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 26.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$143.59 -
$175.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$169.50
Resistance Level
$189.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.24
Wall Street Target
$202.43
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.8%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
46.2 vs 40.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$198.46
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$208.18
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$218.39
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→40)
PE COMPRESSION
$189.38
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.2, Growth: 18.1%)
$311.38
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.1%)
$135.15
(-29%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 18.1%)
$114.88
(-39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 43.29 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.37
Bull Case
$228.45
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 45.5
Base Case
$189.19
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 43.3
Bear Case
$144.73
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 39.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 9:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GWRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael George Rosenbaum
SELL
1200 shares
2026-04-20
Michael George Rosenbaum
SELL
1200 shares
2026-04-13
Michael George Rosenbaum
SELL
1200 shares
2026-04-06
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DDOG
Datadog Inc |
STRONG BUY
48 analysts |
$285 | 57 HOLD |
|
SNOW
Snowflake Inc. |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$321 | 45 HOLD |
|
MNDY
Monday.Com Ltd |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$109 | 53 HOLD |
|
UBER
Uber Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
54 analysts |
$102 | 44 HOLD |
|
INTU
Intuit Inc |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$446 | 36 SELL |
Advanced GWRE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GWRE price and gamma walls.
