GWRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GWRE - GUIDEWIRE SOFTWARE, INC.
$155.01
-7.73 (-4.75%)
▼
5d:
+16.31%
30d:
+7.97%
90d:
+0.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GWRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GWRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$187.38
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$116.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GWRE is currently trading at $155.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.73 to $149.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.6) compared to its historical average (42.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 228.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GWRE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $132.03, while resistance sits at $173.18. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: GWRE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $225.77 (+45.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GWRE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $132.03, while resistance sits at $173.18. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: GWRE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $225.77 (+45.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$129.73 -
$149.09
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GWRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.6% below Wall St target ($225.77)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$129.73 -
$149.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.03
Resistance Level
$173.18
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.61
Wall Street Target
$225.77
(+45.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
228.0%
Profit Margin
14.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.6 vs 42.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$147.57
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$140.49
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$133.74
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→42)
$154.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.6, Growth: 20.5%)
$271.48
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 20.5%)
$162.48
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 20.5%)
$138.11
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 34.48 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.12
Bull Case
$171.62
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.2
Base Case
$142.13
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$108.73
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.6 to 42.4
Stabilization Target:
$179.54
(+15.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 10:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GWRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael George Rosenbaum
SELL
1200 shares
2026-04-20
Michael George Rosenbaum
SELL
1200 shares
2026-04-13
Michael George Rosenbaum
SELL
1200 shares
2026-04-06
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