HCSG
Healthcare Services Group
SERVICES-NURSING & PERSONAL CARE FACILITIES
Healthcare Services Group (HCSG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$25.19
-0.11 (-0.43%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.09%
30d:
+20.58%
90d:
+19.44%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (71%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$21.14 â $25.23
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.2x
FAIR
vs 18.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$26.67
+5.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$23.80 / $27.05
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HCSG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.23
Based on -1.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HCSG is currently trading at $25.19, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.14 to $25.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HCSG is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $23.80, while resistance sits at $27.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HCSG is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $23.80, while resistance sits at $27.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$21.14 -
$25.23
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$21.14 -
$25.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$1.60
(6.3%)
Support Level
$23.80
Resistance Level
$27.05
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding HCSG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.18
Wall Street Target
$26.67
(+5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.93
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$26.58
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$27.25
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â19)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.39
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -6.2%)
$20.88
(+-18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -6.2%)
$20.55
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -6.2%)
$17.47
(-31%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.48
Bull Case
$23.10
(-9%)
Analyst growth -15.3%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$21.00
(-17%)
Market implied -15.3%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$16.85
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL
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