HESM Hess Midstream LP Class A Share representing a limited partner Interest CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS Best Oil & Gas Stocks 2026 →

HESM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$30.58
-0.34 (-1.10%) ▼
5d: +0.92% 30d: -0.23% 90d: -24.55%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (79%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$29.79 – $33.93
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.4x CHEAP
vs 13.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$32.57
+5.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$29.54 / $33.44
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HESM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.22
Based on -1.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.00
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HESM is currently trading at $30.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.79 to $33.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.54, while resistance sits at $33.44.

Market Sentiment: HESM scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $29.79 - $33.93
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $29.79 - $33.93
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $29.54
Resistance Level $33.44
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.57)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.40
Wall Street Target $32.57 (+5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 2.7%
Profit Margin 23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.4 vs 13.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $29.62 (-4%)
2-Year Target $28.38 (-8%)
3-Year Target $27.19 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→13) $30.99 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.4%) $42.79 (+38%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: -7.4%) $24.57 (-21%)
Bear: (PE: 9.7, Growth: -7.4%) $20.89 (-33%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case $31.11 (+1%)
Analyst growth -7.1%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case $28.28 (-9%)
Market implied -7.1%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case $20.71 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 13.0
Stabilization Target: $35.25 (+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.0%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HESM)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish trader on StockTwits announced the reinvestment of an early dividend for $HESM.
Key Retail Themes: Dividend Reinvestment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive HESM Research Pages
HESM Technical Chart HESM Price Prediction HESM Intrinsic Value DCF HESM Earnings Date HESM Investment Advisor HESM Fair Price Analyzer HESM Options Chain HESM Options Advisor HESM Options Analysis HESM Competitors
Part B: Tradestie Flagship Market Scanners
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