HESM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HESM - Hess Midstream LP Class A Share representing a limited partner Interest
$30.73
0.69 (2.30%)
▲
5d:
+0.23%
30d:
-20.12%
90d:
-22.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HESM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HESM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.41
Based on -3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HESM is currently trading at $30.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.74 to $39.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.52, while resistance sits at $33.11.
Market Sentiment: HESM scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.67 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.52, while resistance sits at $33.11.
Market Sentiment: HESM scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.67 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.74 -
$39.43
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (85/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.67)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 85/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.74 -
$39.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.52
Resistance Level
$33.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.72
Wall Street Target
$33.67
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Profit Margin
23.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 13.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.15
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$26.37
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$24.71
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$29.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -10.8%)
$40.56
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: -10.8%)
$21.90
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: -10.8%)
$18.61
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.90
Bull Case
$33.02
(+10%)
Analyst growth -3.4%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$30.01
(0%)
Market implied -3.4%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$21.13
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$36.42
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HESM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HESM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HESM price and gamma walls.
