HESM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HESM - Hess Midstream LP Class A Share representing a limited partner Interest
$39.21
0.58 (1.50%)
▲
5d:
+2.7%
30d:
+1.11%
90d:
-0.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HESM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HESM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.91
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HESM is currently trading at $39.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.35 to $38.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.35 -
$38.83
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($36.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.35 -
$38.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.42
Resistance Level
$39.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.40
Wall Street Target
$36.83
(-6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.60
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$40.00
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$40.40
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$87.91
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 11.3%)
$54.09
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 11.3%)
$45.98
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case
$43.02
(+10%)
Analyst growth 1.2%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$39.11
(0%)
Market implied 1.2%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case
$26.27
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HESM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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