HESM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HESM - Hess Midstream LP Class A Share representing a limited partner Interest
$40.77
-0.06 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
+2.41%
30d:
+6.84%
90d:
+6.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HESM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HESM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.92
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HESM is currently trading at $40.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.27 to $40.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.27 -
$40.48
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($37.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.27 -
$40.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.65
Resistance Level
$41.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.03
Wall Street Target
$37.33
(-8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.75
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$42.75
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$43.78
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.3%)
$72.44
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 6.3%)
$49.04
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 6.3%)
$41.68
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case
$45.15
(+11%)
Analyst growth 0.5%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$41.05
(+1%)
Market implied 0.5%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$27.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HESM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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